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突发传染病情况下高校行人流建模分析与管理控制:以高校食堂为例

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为降低密集人群封闭系统在突发传染病情况下的传播风险,以北京航空航天大学沙河校区第一食堂为研究场景,针对存在传染病传播的学校食堂这一特殊场景提出了 12种疏散策略.并通过元胞自动机仿真模拟,评估控制策略的效果.仿真结果表明,在疏散前采取出入口消毒、患者隔离等措施,能够降低约40%的整体感染风险.控制措施不仅可以用来解决新冠肺炎背景下"人员聚集场所发现疑似病例的人员疏散"问题,而且在处理一些特定场合的突发情况和指导疫情预防方面也具有应用价值.
Modeling Analysis and Management Control of Dense Pedestrian Flow in a Closed Area Under the Outbreak of Infectious Diseases:Taking University Canteen as an Example
In order to reduce the transmission risk of closed systems in densely populated areas during outbreaks of infectious diseases,this study focuses on the first cafeteria of the Shahe Cam-pus of Beihang University as the research scene,and proposes 12 evacuation strategies for school cafeterias where disease transmission occurs.By conducting cellular automaton simulations,the effectiveness of these control strategies is evaluated.The simulation results indicate that imple-menting measures such as disinfection of entrances and exits,and isolating patients before evacu-ation can reduce the overall infection risk by approximately 40%.These control measures not on-ly address the issue of evacuating individuals suspected of having COVID-19 in places of congre-gation,but also have practical value in handling sudden situations in specific scenarios and guid-ing epidemic prevention efforts.

university canteenpedestrian evacuationcellular automataepidemic prevention and controlmanagement strategy

纪鑫、徐嘉明、杨瑷玲、于子兰、唐铁桥

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北京航空航天大学 交通科学与工程学院,北京 100191

北京航空航天大学 未来空天技术/高等理工学院,北京 100191

高校食堂 行人疏散 元胞自动机 疫情防控 管理策略

国家自然科学基金国家自然科学基金

7217100671771005

2024

复杂系统与复杂性科学
青岛大学

复杂系统与复杂性科学

CSTPCD北大核心
影响因子:0.798
ISSN:1672-3813
年,卷(期):2024.21(1)
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