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中国宏观经济走势和调控政策选择

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文章深入分析了中国当前宏观经济形势以及宏观调控政策,主要围绕四个方面的内容展开:首先,今年政府工作报告提出两个重要目标:一是GDP增长7.5%,一是CPI控制在4%,这表明政府淡化经济增长,增大经济结构调整和转变发展方式的决心和政策方向。第二,现行的金融结构和金融体制基本上是国有大金融主导的,同时国家又不承认民间金融的合法性,造成许多中小企业的融资需求无法得到满足。因此,当前的货币政策和金融体制需要进一步放松管制。第三,政府收入快速增长与居民可支配收入不断下降形成矛盾,实现公共财政真正走向公众的目标还需要更多的政策调整和改革。最后,当前中国的体制现状是政府太强、社会太弱及市场扭曲,因此未来改革的方向可以概括如下:约束政府,壮大社会,回归市场。
China's Current Macroeconomic Trend and Its Macro-control PolicyZhang
This paper analyzes China' s current macroeconomic situation and macro-control policy, focusing mainly on four aspects. Firstly, the government work report of 2012 has put forward two important goals of GDP growth of 7.5% and CPI rate within 4%, which indicates the government' s determination and policy direction to slow down economic growth and to increase economic structural adjustment and to transform development mode. Secondly, as the existing financial system is basically dominated by large state-owned financial banks and the legitimacy of private finance unacknowledged, which leads to the financial needs of many SMEs being unable to be met, the current monetary policy and financial system needs further deregulation. Thirdly, the government' s income growth now contradicts with the decline of residents' disposable income, thus it is imperative to achieve the goals of more policy adjustment and reform. China' s current institutional status quo features strong government, weak society and market distortion. Therefore, the future directions of reform can be emphasized as follows: to constrain the governmental function, to strengthen societal apparatus and to regulate market mechanism.

Chinamacroeconomicsmacro-control policy

张曙光

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中国社会科学院,100102

中国 宏观经济 调控政策

2012

广东财经职业学院学报
广东财经职业学院

广东财经职业学院学报

影响因子:0.176
ISSN:1671-8208
年,卷(期):2012.3(3)
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