首页|风光电解水制氢平准化成本优化空间分析

风光电解水制氢平准化成本优化空间分析

扫码查看
氢能是中国绿色低碳能源体系的组成部分和"双碳"目标实现的关键载体,其未来可持续发展是以电解水生产的"绿氢"为方向,但目前针对可再生能源制"绿氢"的最新平准化成本以及成本优化空间较少受关注.对此,基于我国制氢行业最新数据计算出"绿氢"最新平准化成本,并对系统发电侧和制氢侧成本优化空间进行分析,最后开展敏感性分析.结果表明:我国"绿氢"最新平准化价格为20元/kg,已接近目前传统化石原料生产的"灰氢"成本,综合发电侧和制氢侧成本优化空间,至2030年可使氢气平准化成本下降48%左右,达到10.4元/kg;电价敏感性方面,风光电价每降低0.02元/kWh,氢气平准化成本降低约1.2元/kg.
Levelized Cost Optimization Space Analysis for Wind-solar Electrolytic Water Electrolyzing Hydrogen Generation
Hydrogen energy is an integral part of China's green and low-carbon energy system and a key carrier for achieving the"dual carbon"goals.The sustainable development of hydrogen energy in the future is oriented towards the production of"green hydrogen"through electrolysis of water,but currently,there is less attention paid to the latest cost leveling and cost optimization space for producing"green hydrogen"from renewable energy.This article calculates the latest leveling cost of"green hydrogen"based on the latest data of China's hydrogen production industry.Then,it analyzes the optimization space of the system's power generation and hydrogen production costs,and finally conducts sensitivity analysis.The results show that the latest standardized price of"green hydrogen"in China is 20 yuan/kg,which is close to the current cost of"gray hydrogen"produced from traditional fossil materials.Based on the analysis of cost optimization space for both power generation and hydrogen production,by 2030,the cost of hydrogen leveling can be reduced by about 48%,reaching 10.4 yuan/kg.Sensitivity analysis shows that for every 0.02 yuan/kWh decrease in wind and solar electricity prices,the cost of hydrogen leveling is reduced by approximately 1.2 yuan/kg.

wind and solar electrolysis of water to produce hydrogenlevelized costcost optimization space analysisgreen hydrogensensitivity analysis

邓振宇、张润之、张文韬、徐钢、王珞珈

展开 >

华北电力大学能源动力与机械工程学院,北京 102206

国网北京昌平供电公司,北京 102200

风光电解水制氢 平准化成本 成本优化空间分析 绿氢 敏感性分析

国家自然科学基金重大项目

52090064

2024

广东电力
广东电网公司电力科学研究院,广东省电机工程学会

广东电力

CSTPCD北大核心
影响因子:0.527
ISSN:1007-290X
年,卷(期):2024.37(7)
  • 20