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揭阳冬季低温及其极端事件与低频振荡的关系

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基于1981-2020年揭阳市国家站逐日最低气温和NCEP/NCAR再分析资料,采用相对阈值和功率谱分析方法研究了揭阳冬季最低气温及持续性极端低温事件(PECE)与低频振荡的联系.结果表明:揭阳市冬季最低气温存在显著10~30d振荡(准双周振荡)与30~90 d振荡(季节内振荡).冬季最低气温的低频振荡对PECE的发生起重要调制作用,60%的PECE同时受10~30和30~90 d变率耦合影响,30%的PECE仅受10~30 d变率调制,10%的事件仅受30~90 d变率调控.中高纬低频环流波列通过调制西伯利亚高压和东亚大槽季节内尺度上的位置及强度变化来影响低频冷空气的南侵,进而引起揭阳市最低气温低频分量的持续下降,有利于PECE的发生.
On Wintertime Low Temperature of Jieyang and Its Extreme Events and Their Relationship with Low-frequency Oscillations
Based on the daily minimum temperature data from a national station in Jieyang and the NCEP/NCAR reanalysis from 1981 to 2020,this paper studied the minimum temperature and persistent ex-treme cold events(PECEs)in winter and their relationship with low-frequency oscillations in the city using the methods of relative thresholds and power spectra.The results are shown as follows.For Jieyang,the minimum temperature of winter had significant oscillations at 10 to 30 d(quasi-biweekly oscillation)and at 30 to 90 d(intraseasonal oscillation),being an important modulator for the genesis of PECEs.It was shown that 60%of the PECEs are affected by coupled variability of both the 10 to 30 d and 30 to 90 d oscillations,30%by the variability of the 10 to 30 d oscillation only and 10%by the variability of the 30 to 90 d oscilla-tion only.Low-frequency circulation wavetrains at the mid-and higher-latitudes play a role in the southward movement of low-frequency cold air by modulating the changes in intraseasonal location and intensity of a major high in Siberia and a main trough in East Asia,causing persistent drop in the low-frequency compo-nent of the city's minimum temperature that favors the occurrence of PECEs.

climatologyminimum temperaturelow-frequency oscillationpersistent extreme cold e-ventpower spectrumwinterJieyang

翁静娴、谢洁宏、郑瑶娜、陈婉玲、夏云、叶梦茜

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惠来县突发事件预警信息发布中心,广东惠来 515200

惠来县气象局,广东惠来 515200

揭阳市突发事件预警信息发布中心,广东揭阳 522000

揭阳市气象局,广东揭阳 522000

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气候学 最低气温 低频振荡 持续性极端低温事件 功率谱 冬季 揭阳市

揭阳市气象局科学技术研究项目

202219

2024

广东气象
广东省气象学会

广东气象

影响因子:1.013
ISSN:1007-6190
年,卷(期):2024.46(1)
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