广东气象2024,Vol.46Issue(2) :16-21.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1007-6190.2024.02.004

河源市前汛期暖区暴雨环境参数的统计分析

Statistical Analysis of Environmental Parameters of Warm-sector Rainstorms in the April-June Rainy Season of Heyuan

段海花 曾丹丹 彭瑨婧 钟东良
广东气象2024,Vol.46Issue(2) :16-21.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1007-6190.2024.02.004

河源市前汛期暖区暴雨环境参数的统计分析

Statistical Analysis of Environmental Parameters of Warm-sector Rainstorms in the April-June Rainy Season of Heyuan

段海花 1曾丹丹 1彭瑨婧 1钟东良1
扫码查看

作者信息

  • 1. 河源市气象局,广东河源 517000
  • 折叠

摘要

采用2007-2022年4-6月河源市探空资料和地面常规观测资料,统计分析了河源市前汛期暖区暴雨时空分布特征和环境参数,并基于百分位法提取了不同等级暖区暴雨的预报关键阈值.结果表明:4-6月暖区暴雨事件逐月明显增加,且72.5%出现在南海夏季风爆发以后;发生频次的空间分布自西向东逐渐减少,高频次站点均处于东北-西南向的喇叭口地形附近;925与850 hPa温度露点差的平均值、500 hPa温度露点差、整层比湿积分、抬升指数、K指数和0~3 km垂直风切变对典型河源暖区暴雨事件的发生具有较清晰指示意义.

Abstract

The sounding data and conventional surface observations of Heyuan for April-June from 2007 to 2022 were used to statistically analyze the spatial and temporal distribution characteristics and environmen-tal parameters of the warm-sector rainstorms of the city and key thresholds for forecasting different levels of warm-sector rainstorms were extracted based on the percentile method.The results are shown as follows.From April to June for the years studied,the warm-sector rainstorm events increased significantly month by month,and 72.5%of them appeared after the summer monsoon outbreak in the South China Sea.The spa-tial distribution of occurrence frequency gradually decreases from west to east,and the high frequency sta-tions are all located near the terrain of a northeast-southwest-aligned trumpet mouth.The average value of the difference between temperature and dew point at 925 hPa and 850 hPa,the temperature-dew point difference at 500 hPa,the integrated water vapor(IWV),uplift index,K index and 0-3 km vertical wind shear have clear indications for the occurrence of typical rainstorm events in Heyuan.

关键词

气候学/暖区暴雨/探空/环境参数/河源市

Key words

climatology/warm-sector rainstorm/sounding/environmental parameter/Heyuan

引用本文复制引用

基金项目

河源市智能网格预报技术创新团队项目(HYQXTD202201)

河源市气象局气象科学技术项目(2021A01)

出版年

2024
广东气象
广东省气象学会

广东气象

影响因子:1.013
ISSN:1007-6190
参考文献量20
段落导航相关论文