首页|近60年来广东春季低温阴雨的时空变化特征

近60年来广东春季低温阴雨的时空变化特征

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利用广东74 个国家气象观测站 1964-2023 年 2-4 月逐日平均气温资料、日照时数资料,采用线性倾向估计、M-K突变检验、小波分析等方法,对近60 年来低温阴雨天气的时空变化特征进行分析.结果表明:广东低温阴雨平均总日数、各等级低温阴雨日数呈西北多南部少的分布特征;北部低温阴雨结束时间迟.广东低温阴雨日数呈减少趋势,年际、年代际波动明显;低温阴雨总日数、重度日数减少及终日提前趋势显著;低温阴雨轻度日数、中度日数下降趋势不显著.区域低温阴雨的总日数、重度日数呈减少趋势;终日呈提前趋势,轻度和中度日数变化趋势不显著.低温阴雨总日数和轻度、重度日数存在准28 年的显著周期震荡;中度低温阴雨日数具有准 14 年的显著周期震荡;终日具有准24 年的显著周期震荡.广东低温阴雨总日数、轻度日数及终日在2017 年前后发生日数减少和终日提前的突变;低温阴雨重度日数在2002 年发生日数减少的突变;低温阴雨中度日数没有突变发生.
Characteristics of Spatial and Temporal Change of Low Temperature and Rain in Guangdong in the Past 60 Years
Using the daily data of average temperature and sunshine duration for 74 national meteoro-logical observation stations in Guangdong from 1964 to 2023,the spatial and temporal variation characteris-tics of low temperature and rainy(to be referred to as"LT_R"hereafter)weather in the past 60 years were analyzed by the methods of linear tendency estimation,Mann-Kendall test and wavelet analysis.The results are shown as follows.In Guangdong,the average total number of LT_R days and the number of LT_R days of all grades are more in the northwest and less in the south;the ending date of LT_R weather in the north is late.The number of LT_R days in Guangdong is decreasing,with obvious interannual and interdecadal fluc-tuations;the total number of LT_R days and the number of severe LT_R days tend to decrease significantly,and while the ending date of LT_R days tends to advance significantly,the numbers of mild and moderate LT_R days show an insignificant falling trend.The total numbers of regional LT_R days and severe LT_R days show a decreasing trend;the ending date of LT_R days is advancing,and the changing trend of mild and moderate LT_R days is not significant.The total numbers of LT_R days and the numbers of mild and se-vere LT_R days have significant periodic oscillations of quasi-28 years;the number of moderate LT_R days has significant oscillations of quasi-14 years;the ending date of LT_R days has significant oscillations of quasi-24 years.In Guangdong,the total number of LT_R days and the number of mild LT_R days decreased abruptly around 2017,and the ending date of LT_R days advanced around that year;the number of LT_R days decreased abruptly in 2002;no abrupt change occurred in the number of moderate LT_R days.

climatologylow temperature and rainspatiotemporal distributionspringGuangdong

丁丽佳、凌良新、陈新煜、杨婕俐、陆百翔

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潮州市气象局,广东 潮州 521011

潮州市突发事件预警信息发布中心,广东 潮州 521011

气候学 低温阴雨 时空分布 春季 广东

广东省气象局科学技术研究项目

GRMC2023M49

2024

广东气象
广东省气象学会

广东气象

影响因子:1.013
ISSN:1007-6190
年,卷(期):2024.46(5)