广东气象2024,Vol.46Issue(5) :6-10.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1007-6190.2024.05.002

近60年来广东春季低温阴雨的时空变化特征

Characteristics of Spatial and Temporal Change of Low Temperature and Rain in Guangdong in the Past 60 Years

丁丽佳 凌良新 陈新煜 杨婕俐 陆百翔
广东气象2024,Vol.46Issue(5) :6-10.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1007-6190.2024.05.002

近60年来广东春季低温阴雨的时空变化特征

Characteristics of Spatial and Temporal Change of Low Temperature and Rain in Guangdong in the Past 60 Years

丁丽佳 1凌良新 1陈新煜 2杨婕俐 1陆百翔1
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作者信息

  • 1. 潮州市气象局,广东 潮州 521011
  • 2. 潮州市突发事件预警信息发布中心,广东 潮州 521011
  • 折叠

摘要

利用广东74 个国家气象观测站 1964-2023 年 2-4 月逐日平均气温资料、日照时数资料,采用线性倾向估计、M-K突变检验、小波分析等方法,对近60 年来低温阴雨天气的时空变化特征进行分析.结果表明:广东低温阴雨平均总日数、各等级低温阴雨日数呈西北多南部少的分布特征;北部低温阴雨结束时间迟.广东低温阴雨日数呈减少趋势,年际、年代际波动明显;低温阴雨总日数、重度日数减少及终日提前趋势显著;低温阴雨轻度日数、中度日数下降趋势不显著.区域低温阴雨的总日数、重度日数呈减少趋势;终日呈提前趋势,轻度和中度日数变化趋势不显著.低温阴雨总日数和轻度、重度日数存在准28 年的显著周期震荡;中度低温阴雨日数具有准 14 年的显著周期震荡;终日具有准24 年的显著周期震荡.广东低温阴雨总日数、轻度日数及终日在2017 年前后发生日数减少和终日提前的突变;低温阴雨重度日数在2002 年发生日数减少的突变;低温阴雨中度日数没有突变发生.

Abstract

Using the daily data of average temperature and sunshine duration for 74 national meteoro-logical observation stations in Guangdong from 1964 to 2023,the spatial and temporal variation characteris-tics of low temperature and rainy(to be referred to as"LT_R"hereafter)weather in the past 60 years were analyzed by the methods of linear tendency estimation,Mann-Kendall test and wavelet analysis.The results are shown as follows.In Guangdong,the average total number of LT_R days and the number of LT_R days of all grades are more in the northwest and less in the south;the ending date of LT_R weather in the north is late.The number of LT_R days in Guangdong is decreasing,with obvious interannual and interdecadal fluc-tuations;the total number of LT_R days and the number of severe LT_R days tend to decrease significantly,and while the ending date of LT_R days tends to advance significantly,the numbers of mild and moderate LT_R days show an insignificant falling trend.The total numbers of regional LT_R days and severe LT_R days show a decreasing trend;the ending date of LT_R days is advancing,and the changing trend of mild and moderate LT_R days is not significant.The total numbers of LT_R days and the numbers of mild and se-vere LT_R days have significant periodic oscillations of quasi-28 years;the number of moderate LT_R days has significant oscillations of quasi-14 years;the ending date of LT_R days has significant oscillations of quasi-24 years.In Guangdong,the total number of LT_R days and the number of mild LT_R days decreased abruptly around 2017,and the ending date of LT_R days advanced around that year;the number of LT_R days decreased abruptly in 2002;no abrupt change occurred in the number of moderate LT_R days.

关键词

气候学/低温阴雨/时空分布/春季/广东

Key words

climatology/low temperature and rain/spatiotemporal distribution/spring/Guangdong

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基金项目

广东省气象局科学技术研究项目(GRMC2023M49)

出版年

2024
广东气象
广东省气象学会

广东气象

影响因子:1.013
ISSN:1007-6190
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