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2020年"5·22"广州和东莞特大暴雨成因分析

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利用NCEP FNL资料、地面自动站观测数据、风廓线雷达数据等,对2020年"5·22"广州和东莞特大暴雨过程成因进行了分析.结果表明:500 hPa西北气流中下滑的中β尺度弱波动、夜间加强的低空急流、地面弱冷空气渗入后发展的低压和低槽为主要影响天气系统.夜间辐合加强的超低空急流,为暴雨提供了极其充沛的水汽;极不稳定的层结和较厚的暖云层,利于高效率暖云强降水的产生.最强降水时段,强中尺度对流雨团产生的弱冷池出流与西南急流辐合交汇,夜间加强的西南急流使暖舌稳定维持在东莞西部,形成等温线密集的气流辐合带,影响广州东南部和东莞西部、北部3 h左右;冷池出流下沉渗入暖的西南气流下方,使暖空气倾斜爬升,利于对流在等温线密集区不断触发,产生局地强降水.西南急流风速与西北引导气流风速相当,并以50°~60°的夹角对峙,使中尺度对流单元移速缓慢,急流偏西风量缓慢增加,使对流逐渐西南移,而不是沿引导气流方向移动.
Analysis of the Causes for a Torrential Rain in Guangzhou and Dongguan on May 22,2020
Using the NCEP FNL data,observations from surface automatic weather stations and data from a wind profiler,this work analyzed the causes for a torrential rain which took place in Guangzhou and Dongguan on May 22,2020.The results are shown as follows.The rain was mainly governed by such synop-tic systems as weak meso-β-scale waves propagating downward from a northwesterly flow at 500 hPa,an ultra low-level jet stream that enhanced nocturnally,and a low and a trough that developed as a result of weak in-filtrating cold air at the surface.While the jet stream provided extremely abundant amount of water vapor for the torrential rain,a highly unstable stratification and a thick layer of warm clouds were favorable for the effi-cient generation of intense warm-cloud rainfall.At the peak stage of the rainfall,a weak cool-pool outflow,formed from an intense mesoscale convective rain cluster,converged with a southwesterly jet stream,and the nocturnally enhancing southwesterly jet stream kept a warm tongue stably over the western part of Dongguan,leading to the formation of a flow converging zone with dense isotherms that affected the southeast of Guang-zhou and the west and north of Dongguan for about three hours.The cool-pool outflow descended to infiltrate into the lower portion of the warm southwesterly flow to cause the warm air to tilt and ascend,which was con-ducive to the repeated triggering of convection in the zone of dense isotherms and the generation of severe lo-cal rainfall.The southwesterly jet stream was comparable with a northwesterly steering flow in wind speed and confronted each other at an included angle ranging from 50°to 60°.It slowed down the moving speed of mesoscale convective cells and slowly increased the westerly component of the jet stream so that the convec-tion moved to the southwest gradually rather than in the direction of the steering flow.

synopticstorrential raincool poolconvection triggering and maintenanceDongguan

姜晓岑、冼星河、张劲梅、莫伟强

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东莞市气象局,广东东莞 523000

天气学 特大暴雨 冷池 对流触发和维持 东莞

2024

广东气象
广东省气象学会

广东气象

影响因子:1.013
ISSN:1007-6190
年,卷(期):2024.46(6)