首页|物流业智慧化发展对经济韧性的影响:效应及机制

物流业智慧化发展对经济韧性的影响:效应及机制

The Impact of the Development of Intelligent Logistics Industry on Economic Resilience:Effects and Mechanisms

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科学评估物流业智慧化发展对经济韧性的影响具有重要现实意义.基于2006-2021年我国286个城市的面板数据,构建物流业智慧化与经济韧性指标,探究物流业智慧化对经济韧性的影响及作用机制.结果表明,物流业智慧化显著提升了经济韧性,且这一结论具有较强的稳健性.机制检验发现,物流业智慧化主要通过降低外部扰动风险、实现供需两端协调及激发经济活跃程度增强了经济韧性.拓展分析表明,物流业智慧化有助于促进市场一体化发展和市场潜力的释放,且在市场分割程度高的地区和低市场化地区,物流业智慧化对经济韧性的促进作用更强.物流业智慧化对经济韧性的促进作用还存在网络效应,物流网络越完善,物流业智慧化促进经济韧性的效应越强.因而应推动新一代信息技术与物流技术的深度融合,加强数字基础和交通基础设施建设,优化运输结构,完善地区间的物流体系,以更好地畅通国民经济循环、增强经济韧性.
It is of great practical significance to scientifically assess the impact of developing intelligent logistics industry on economic resilience.Using the panel data of 286 cities in China from 2006 to 2021,this paper creates indicators of intelligent logistics industry and economic resilience to explore the influence and its mechanism of intelligent logistics industry on economic resilience.The results indicate that the development of intelligent logistics industry significantly improves economic resilience,which is highly robust.The mechanism test finds that the development of intelligent logistics industry enhances economic resilience mainly by reducing the risk of external disturbances,coordinating supply and demand,and energizing economic activities.Expanded analysis shows that the development of intelligent logistics industry helps to promote market integration and unlock market potential.The facilitating effect of intelligent logistics industry on economic resilience is stronger in regions with high-level market segmentation or low-level marketization.There is also a network effect on promoting economic resilience brought by the development of intelligent logistics industry.Such effect increases with stronger logistics network.Therefore,it is suggested to promote the in-depth integration between new-generation information technology and logistics technology,strengthen digital and transportation infrastructure,optimize the transportation structure,and improve the inter-regional logistics system,so as to better facilitate the circulation of national economy and enhance economic resilience.

intelligent logistics industryeconomic resiliencedigital economyrisk of external disturbancessupply and demand coordinationeconomic activitynetwork effect

谷城、张树山

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东北师范大学经济与管理学院,吉林长春 130117

物流业智慧化 经济韧性 数字经济 外部扰动风险 供需协调 经济活跃度 网络效应

国家社会科学基金项目

18BJY180

2024

广东财经大学学报
广东商学院

广东财经大学学报

CSTPCDCSSCICHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:1.059
ISSN:1008-2506
年,卷(期):2024.39(3)
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