摘要
面向国防科技领域技术发展的需要,提出"数据服务+智能推荐+专家决策"技术预见分析手段,设计一套国防领域地平线扫描监测系统.该系统可以提供一站式数据采集、存储、挖掘、分析、可视化的功能,提供技术预见分析、数据可视化服务和情报产品推荐等应用服务,为科技管理提供准确、及时的信息支持,从而有效发现国防科技领域的新技术、新市场、新机会.在大国博弈背景下,国防科技领域前沿技术对我国国防科技的发展至关重要,从海量开源情报数据中挖掘潜在影响未来发展变化的萌芽技术,开展扫描监测,进行技术预见分析,对国防科技管理战略决策具有重要意义.
Abstract
With the goal of addressing technological development needs in the field of national defense science and technology,a technology horizon analysis approach is proposed in this paper,which entails'data service + intelligent recommendation + expert decision-making'and presents a newly designed horizon scanning and monitoring system.A one-stop capability for data acquisition,storage,mining,analysis,and visualisation is offered by this system,as well as application services,including technology horizon analysis,data visualisation,and intelligence product recommendations.Based on accurate and timely information support for scientific and technological management,this system can effectively identify innovative technologies,markets,and opportunities in the national defense sector.In the context of collisions among the great powers,cutting-edge technologies play a pivotal role in the development of China's national defense science and technology.Hence,mining massive open source intelligence data to explore emerging technologies that have the potential to affect future development and effect significant changes,engaging in continuous scanning and monitoring,and conducting technology horizon analysis are crucial for strategic decision-making in national defense science and technology management.