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颠覆性技术识别研究进展

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颠覆性技术识别作为一项重要的技术创新活动,受到国家和企业的高度重视。通过文献调研法和文献计量分析从颠覆性技术的内涵、研究主题、识别方法3个维度对国内外的颠覆性技术识别研究进行系统梳理和分析。结果表明,颠覆性技术与新兴技术、市场应用、技术变革、创新理论、商业生态系统、智能识别技术等主题密切相关。对现有研究进行分析和归纳发现,当前颠覆性技术识别研究还存在定义不明确、数据来源不够全面、缺乏定量评估体系、缺少智能语义分析和事前预测能力不足等问题。未来研究应该从定义、数据、方法、指标体系等视角展开,提升颠覆性技术识别效果。
Research progress of disruptive technology identification
Disruptive technology identification is a critical technological innovation activity that has received close attention from countries and enterprises.In this paper,literature research and bibliometric analysis are conducted to systematically review the domestic and international research on disruptive technology identification on three dimensions:contents,research topics,and method of identification.The results indicate that disruptive technology is closely related to emerging technology,market application,technological transformation,theoretical innovation,business ecosystem,and intelligent identification technology.Current research on disruptive technology identification is shown,through analysis and induction,to have some problems,such as unclear definition,incomplete data sources,lack of quantitative evaluation system,lack of intelligent semantic analysis,and insufficient predictive ability.More stress should be placed on definition,data,methods,and indicator systems in future research to improve the performance of disruptive technology identification.

disruptive technologydisruptive innovationtechnology identificationbibliometric analysis

曹晓丽、于改红、吴振新

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中国科学院文献情报中心,北京 100190

中国科学院大学经济与管理学院信息资源管理系,北京 100190

颠覆性技术 颠覆性创新 技术识别 文献计量分析

2024

国防科技
国防科学技术大学

国防科技

影响因子:0.646
ISSN:1671-4547
年,卷(期):2024.45(6)