干旱区科学2024,Vol.16Issue(6) :739-751.DOI:10.1007/s40333-024-0016-0

Comparison of isotope-based linear and Bayesian mixing models in determining moisture recycling ratio

XIAO Yanqiong WANG Liwei WANG Shengjie Kei YOSHIMURA SHI Yudong LI Xiaofei Athanassios A ARGIRIOU ZHANG Mingjun
干旱区科学2024,Vol.16Issue(6) :739-751.DOI:10.1007/s40333-024-0016-0

Comparison of isotope-based linear and Bayesian mixing models in determining moisture recycling ratio

XIAO Yanqiong 1WANG Liwei 2WANG Shengjie 1Kei YOSHIMURA 3SHI Yudong 1LI Xiaofei 4Athanassios A ARGIRIOU 5ZHANG Mingjun1
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作者信息

  • 1. Key Laboratory of Resource Environment and Sustainable Development of Oasis of Gansu Province,College of Geography and Environmental Science,Northwest Normal University,Lanzhou 730070,China
  • 2. Northwest Institute of Eco-Environment and Resources,Chinese Academy of Sciences,Lanzhou 730000,China
  • 3. Atmosphere and Ocean Research Institute,University of Tokyo,Kashiwa 277-8568,Japan
  • 4. School of Environmental Science and Engineering,Shaanxi University of Science and Technology,Xi'an 710021,China
  • 5. Laboratory of Atmospheric Physics,Department of Physics,University of Patras,Patras GR-26500,Greece
  • 折叠

Abstract

Stable water isotopes are natural tracers quantifying the contribution of moisture recycling to local precipitation,i.e.,the moisture recycling ratio,but various isotope-based models usually lead to different results,which affects the accuracy of local moisture recycling.In this study,a total of 18 stations from four typical areas in China were selected to compare the performance of isotope-based linear and Bayesian mixing models and to determine local moisture recycling ratio.Among the three vapor sources including advection,transpiration,and surface evaporation,the advection vapor usually played a dominant role,and the contribution of surface evaporation was less than that of transpiration.When the abnormal values were ignored,the arithmetic averages of differences between isotope-based linear and the Bayesian mixing models were 0.9%for transpiration,0.2%for surface evaporation,and-1.1%for advection,respectively,and the medians were 0.5%,0.2%,and-0.8%,respectively.The importance of transpiration was slightly less for most cases when the Bayesian mixing model was applied,and the contribution of advection was relatively larger.The Bayesian mixing model was found to perform better in determining an efficient solution since linear model sometimes resulted in negative contribution ratios.Sensitivity test with two isotope scenarios indicated that the Bayesian model had a relatively low sensitivity to the changes in isotope input,and it was important to accurately estimate the isotopes in precipitation vapor.Generally,the Bayesian mixing model should be recommended instead of a linear model.The findings are useful for understanding the performance of isotope-based linear and Bayesian mixing models under various climate backgrounds.

Key words

moisture recycling/stable water isotope/linear mixing model/Bayesian mixing model/China

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基金项目

国家自然科学基金(42261008)

国家自然科学基金(41971034)

甘肃省自然科学基金(22JR5RA074)

出版年

2024
干旱区科学
中国科学院新疆生态与地理研究所,科学出版社

干旱区科学

CSTPCDCSCD
影响因子:1.743
ISSN:1674-6767
参考文献量45
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