干旱区科学2024,Vol.16Issue(8) :1023-1043.DOI:10.1007/s40333-024-0023-1

Responses of runoff to changes in climate and human activities in the Liuhe River Basin,China

LI Mingqian WANG He DU Wei GU Hongbiao ZHOU Fanchao CHI Baoming
干旱区科学2024,Vol.16Issue(8) :1023-1043.DOI:10.1007/s40333-024-0023-1

Responses of runoff to changes in climate and human activities in the Liuhe River Basin,China

LI Mingqian 1WANG He 2DU Wei 3GU Hongbiao 4ZHOU Fanchao 5CHI Baoming2
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作者信息

  • 1. School of Ecology and Environment,Institute of Disaster Prevention,Langfang 065201,China;Hebei Key Laboratory of Resource and Environmental Disaster Mechanism and Risk Monitoring,Sanhe 065201,China
  • 2. School of Ecology and Environment,Institute of Disaster Prevention,Langfang 065201,China
  • 3. Suzhou Qianxing Environmental Engineering Co.,Ltd.,Suzhou 215000,China
  • 4. College of Transportation Engineering,Nanjing Tech University,Nanjing 210000,China
  • 5. Tianjin North China Geological Exploration General Institute,Tianjin 300000,China
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Abstract

Since the 1950s,numerous soil and water conservation measures have been implemented to control severe soil erosion in the Liuhe River Basin(LRB),China.While these measures have protected the upstream soil and water ecological environment,they have led to a sharp reduction in the downstream flow and the deterioration of the river ecological environment.Therefore,it is important to evaluate the impact of soil and water conservation measures on hydrological processes to assess long-term runoff changes.Using the Soil and Water Assessment Tool(SWAT)models and sensitivity analyses based on the Budyko hypothesis,this study quantitatively evaluated the effects of climate change,direct water withdrawal,and soil and water conservation measures on runoff in the LRB during different periods,including different responses to runoff discharge,hydrological regime,and flood processes.The runoff series were divided into a baseline period(1956-1969)and two altered periods,i.e.,period 1(1970-1999)and period 2(2000-2020).Human activities were the main cause of the decrease in runoff during the altered periods,contributing 86.03%(-29.61 mm),while the contribution of climate change was only 13.70%(-4.70 mm).The impact of climate change manifests as a decrease in flood volume caused by a reduction in precipitation during the flood season.Analysis of two flood cases indicated a 66.00%-84.00%reduction in basin runoff capacity due to soil and water conservation measures in the upstream area.Soil and water conservation measures reduced the peak flow and total flood volume in the upstream runoff area by 77.98%and 55.16%,respectively,even with nearly double the precipitation.The runoff coefficient in the reservoir area without soil and water conservation measures was 4.0 times that in the conservation area.These results contribute to the re-evaluation of soil and water conservation hydrological effects and provide important guidance for water resource planning and water conservation policy formulation in the LRB.

Key words

runoff/soil and water conservation/climate variability/flood/human activities/Liuhe River Basin

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基金项目

Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities(ZY20230206)

Langfang City Science and Technology Research and Development Plan Selfraised Funds Project(2023013216)

出版年

2024
干旱区科学
中国科学院新疆生态与地理研究所,科学出版社

干旱区科学

CSTPCDCSCD
影响因子:1.743
ISSN:1674-6767
参考文献量2
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