干旱区科学2024,Vol.16Issue(8) :1098-1117.DOI:10.1007/s40333-024-0105-0

Effects of temperature and precipitation on drought trends in Xinjiang,China

YANG Jianhua LI Yaqian ZHOU Lei ZHANG Zhenqing ZHOU Hongkui WU Jianjun
干旱区科学2024,Vol.16Issue(8) :1098-1117.DOI:10.1007/s40333-024-0105-0

Effects of temperature and precipitation on drought trends in Xinjiang,China

YANG Jianhua 1LI Yaqian 1ZHOU Lei 2ZHANG Zhenqing 1ZHOU Hongkui 3WU Jianjun4
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作者信息

  • 1. Academy of Eco-civilization Development for Jing-Jin-Ji Megalopolis,Tianjin Normal University,Tianjin 300387,China
  • 2. School of Geomatics and Urban Spatial Informatics,Beijing University of Civil Engineering and Architecture,Beijing 100044,China
  • 3. Institute of Digital Agriculture,Zhejiang Academy of Agricultural Sciences,Hangzhou 310021,China
  • 4. Academy of Eco-civilization Development for Jing-Jin-Ji Megalopolis,Tianjin Normal University,Tianjin 300387,China;Faculty of Geographical Science,Beijing Normal University,Beijing 100875,China
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Abstract

The characteristics of drought in Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region(Xinjiang),China have changed due to changes in the spatiotemporal patterns of temperature and precipitation,however,the effects of temperature and precipitation—the two most important factors influencing drought—have not yet been thoroughly explored in this region.In this study,we first calculated the standard precipitation evapotranspiration index(SPEI)in Xinjiang from 1980 to 2020 based on the monthly precipitation and monthly average temperature.Then the spatiotemporal characteristics of temperature,precipitation,and drought in Xinjiang from 1980 to 2020 were analyzed using the Theil-Sen median trend analysis method and Mann-Kendall test.A series of SPEI-based scenario-setting experiments by combining the observed and detrended climatic factors were utilized to quantify the effects of individual climatic factor(i.e.,temperature and precipitation).The results revealed that both temperature and precipitation had experienced increasing trends at most meteorological stations in Xinjiang from 1980 to 2020,especially the spring temperature and winter precipitation.Due to the influence of temperature,trends of intensifying drought have been observed at spring,summer,autumn,and annual scales.In addition,the drought trends in southern Xinjiang were more notable than those in northern Xinjiang.From 1980 to 2020,temperature trends exacerbated drought trends,but precipitation trends alleviated drought trends in Xinjiang.Most meteorological stations in Xinjiang exhibited temperature-dominated drought trend except in winter;in winter,most stations exhibited precipitation-dominated wetting trend.The findings of this study highlight the importance of the impact of temperature on drought in Xinjiang and deepen the understanding of the factors influencing drought.

Key words

standardized precipitation evapotranspiration index(SPEI)/climate change/drought characteristics/trend analysis/arid area/temperature trend/contribution analysis

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基金项目

Third Xinjiang Scientific Expedition Program(2022xjkk0600)

出版年

2024
干旱区科学
中国科学院新疆生态与地理研究所,科学出版社

干旱区科学

CSTPCDCSCD
影响因子:1.743
ISSN:1674-6767
参考文献量3
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