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双循环视角下中国多重价值链互动与收益的实证研究

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研究立足中国双循环发展战略,构建内嵌中国区域的全球投入产出表,基于增加值供给和需求分析不同行业参与国内区域、RCEP区域以及全球其他区域价值链的互动及收益情况.研究发现:在双循环供需流向方面,中国各省市区和大部分行业参与价值链互动强度由强到弱依次为国内价值链、RCEP区域价值链、全球其他区域价值链.在具体行业方面,机械工业表现出明显的内陆沿海差异,金属品冶炼及制品业呈现出向极性,即特定区域间相对突出的强增加值流向联系,交通运输设备制造业显示出经济发展水平上的两极性.在收益方面,两端依靠国内价值链的内循环模式价值链收益最高,而两端依靠RCEP区域价值链的外循环模式价值链收益最低.鉴此,应进一步发挥国内资源和市场优势,促进多元合作与区域互动,并通过多种路径减少外部经济依赖.
Empirical Study on Interactions and Benefits of Multiple Value Chains in China Under Dual Circulation Perspective
Based on China's dual-circulation development strategy,a global input-output table embedding Chinese regions is constructed.Based on value-added supply and demand,the interactions and benefits of different industries participating in value chains in the domestic region,the RCEP region and other regions of the world are analyzed.It is found that in terms of dual-circulation supply and demand flows,the intensity of interactions in value chains among China's provinces and municipalities and most industries ranks in de-scending order of domestic value chains,RCEP regional value chains and other regional value chains across the world.In terms of specific industries,the machinery industry shows obvious inland-coastal differences,the metal smelting and products industry exhibits inter-regional polarity,that is,relatively prominent strong value-added flow linkages between specific regions,and the transportation equipment manufacturing indus-try shows bipolarity in terms of economic development.In terms of benefits,the internal circulation value chain that relies on domestic value chains at both ends yields the highest benefits,while the international cir-culation value chain that relies on RCEP regional value chains at both ends generates the lowest benefits.Therefore,it is essential to further capitalize on domestic resources and market advantages,foster diversified cooperation and regional interactions,and reduce external economic dependence through various channels.

dual circulationvalue chainvalue-added supplyvalue-added demandtransmission pathRCEP

袁小慧、李雪阳

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江苏行政学院

双循环 价值链 增加值供给 增加值需求 传导路径 RCEP

2024

国际经济合作
商务部国际贸易经济合作研究院

国际经济合作

CSTPCDCHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:0.789
ISSN:1002-1515
年,卷(期):2024.40(1)
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