首页|全球价值链前向嵌入与制造业出口隐含碳排放——兼论数字服务贸易自由化的调节效应

全球价值链前向嵌入与制造业出口隐含碳排放——兼论数字服务贸易自由化的调节效应

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全球价值链分工对贸易隐含碳排放的影响受到学界广泛关注。本文实证检验全球价值链前向嵌入影响出口隐含碳排放的理论机制,进一步分析数字服务贸易自由化的调节效应。研究发现:全球价值链前向嵌入、简单嵌入对出口隐含碳排放的影响呈倒U型,而复杂嵌入具有显著的抑制效应;发达国家与欧洲价值链网络区域全球价值链前向嵌入对出口隐含碳排放的影响呈倒U型,而发展中国家、北美价值链和亚洲价值链网络区域全球价值链前向嵌入具有显著的抑制效应;相对于高技术行业,全球价值链前向嵌入与低技术行业出口隐含碳排放的倒U型关系更为显著。调节效应表明:数字服务贸易自由化提前了全球价值链前向嵌入与出口隐含碳排放倒U型曲线的拐点,该效应在发达国家、欧洲价值链网络区域以及低技术行业中更加明显;数字服务贸易自由化增强了发展中国家、亚洲价值链网络区域以及复杂嵌入的出口减排效应。本文结论对全球价值链视角下中国经济绿色低碳发展具有重要启示。
Global Value Chains forward Embedding and Manufacturing Carbon Emissions Embodied in Exports:On the Moderating Effect of Digital Service Trade Liberalization
The impact of global value chains(GVC)division of labor on carbon emissions embodied in trade has received extensive attention from academics.The paper empirically tests the theoretical mechanism of forward GVC embedding affecting carbon emissions embodied in exports,and further analyzes the moderating effect of digital service trade liberalization.The findings indicate that the impact of forward GVC embedding on carbon emissions embodied in exports is in an inverted U-shape;simple embedding has an inverted U-shape relationship with carbon emissions embodied in exports,while complex embedding has a significant inhibitory effect;the forward embedding of GVCs in developed countries and the European value chain network has an inverted U-shape effect on carbon emissions embodied in exports,while forward GVC embedding in developing countries,North American value chains and the Asian value chain network has a significant dampening effect;compared with high-technology industries,the inverted U-shaped relationship between forward GVC embedding and carbon emissions embodied in exports is more significant.The mechanism test shows that digital service trade liberalization advances the inflection point of the inverted U-shaped curve between forward GVC embedding and carbon emissions embodied in exports,and the effect is more pronounced in developed countries,European value chain network regions and low-tech industries.It enhances the export reduction effect in developing countries,Asian value chain network regions and complex embedding.

global value chainscarbon emissions embodied in exportsinverted U-shapedigital service trade liberalizationmoderation effect

周宏伟、刘曙光

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南开大学,天津 300071

中国海洋大学,山东 青岛 266100

全球价值链 出口隐含碳排放 倒U型 数字服务贸易自由化 调节效应

2025

国际商务研究
上海对外贸易学院

国际商务研究

北大核心
影响因子:0.748
ISSN:1006-1894
年,卷(期):2025.46(1)