The Future Trajectory of Russia-US Relations under New Circumstances
With the all-round escalation of the Ukraine crisis,the relationship between Russia and the United States has become one of all-out confrontation.In his new presidential term,Vladimir Putin will continue to pursue his major objectives in Ukraine with military strength,counter US sanctions and containment,safeguard national security and strategic interests through nuclear deterrence,resist US interference in Russian internal affairs,and rein in the US expansion in the Eurasian region.The new US administration will inherit the policy of suppressing and weakening Russia and step up its containment and sanction efforts to inflict a"strategic defeat"on Russia.Bilateral cooperation on nuclear arms control is unlikely,if not impossible.Comprehensive confrontation is expected to be the theme of Russia-US relations throughout Putin's six-year term and even last into the early 2030s.The relationship may experience some sort of improvement due to changes in US domestic politics and the international situation.Still,the odds are low,and the extent will be limited even in the case of one.There may be no treaty to confine the development of Russian and US strategic arsenals in the future,and Russia may be embroiled in a direct conventional armed conflict of limited scale with the US and NATO in Ukraine.These are the two major security risks both countries and the international community should prevent.
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