首页|美菲特殊关系的回归:动因、影响及制约

美菲特殊关系的回归:动因、影响及制约

扫码查看
随着国际格局和地区局势的演变,美菲特殊关系始终在"弱化破裂"与"回归固本"之间摇摆.当前美菲特殊关系的快速回归,全面展现了这一关系的政治、安全、经济、社会内涵及具体特征,凸显了美菲同盟关系框架和两国国内进程的结构性影响.在结构性因素持续存在的基础上,现阶段美国对菲律宾在亚太地区战略价值的重新发现,以及马科斯政府南海和大国政策的"范式转变",是美菲特殊关系快速回归的主要动因.美菲特殊关系的回归给地区热点带来新的复杂因素,也在一定程度上冲击亚太地区安全格局.与此同时,其内生性困境也在逐步显现,美菲两国国内政治生态的变化、同盟困境的客观存在以及中国的作用等因素将使其发展前景面临不确定性.
The Return of the US-Philippines Special Relationship:Motivations,Implications and Constraints
The special relationship between the United States and the Philippines has been fluctuating within a spectrum between totally breaking down and strikingly strengthening up along with the evolution of the international landscape and regional situation.The rapid and strong return of the special relationship fully demonstrates its political,security,economic,and social connotations with specific characteristics.It also highlights the structural impacts of the comparatively fixed bilateral alliance framework and the two countries'long-standing domestic elements.The present re-emphasis of the strategic value of the Philippines by the United States and the"paradigm shift"in the Marcos administration's policies on the South China Sea are the main driving forces for the current high-profile return of special relationship,bringing more challenges to security and stability in Asia-Pacific.Nonetheless,endogenous constraints are gradually emerging.The possible changes in both countries'domestic politics,inherent alliance dilemmas and China's influence will restrict the development of US-Philippines special relations.

刘阿明

展开 >

上海社会科学院国际问题研究所

美菲特殊关系 亚太安全 中菲关系 中美关系 南海问题

2024

国际问题研究
中国国际问题研究所

国际问题研究

CSSCICHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:2.746
ISSN:0452-8832
年,卷(期):2024.(3)