首页|俄乌冲突:世界格局演化的重要变量

俄乌冲突:世界格局演化的重要变量

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俄乌冲突既是东西方对峙冷战的延续,也是百年未有之大变局的序幕,更是引发世界格局在某一历史时点由渐变转向突变的重要变量。一是将重创以西方国家虚拟经济为主体收割世界财富的主导地位,开启以资源和制造业为主体国家获取世界平等地位的历史进程。二是进一步唤醒大多数国家和地区战略自主的意识,一批大国和中等强国围绕大国梦、强国梦正在根据国家利益进行不同的排列组合。三是引爆了以美西方为主导的传统经济全球化走向历史的扬弃,以新兴经济体为主导的新型经济全球化大潮将势不可挡。四是或将成为终结美国霸权地位的历史转折点,世界一超多极格局将转向多元、多样、多极。五是在全球地缘政治、经济、军事、外交关系调整演化中,亚欧大陆或将重新成为大国政治博弈和经济竞合的经济中心。六是世界必将朝着构建人类命运共同体的正确方向,在克服艰难险阻或经历阵痛后凤凰涅槃。
Russia-Ukraine Conflict:An Important Variable in the Fast-Evolving Global Landscape
The Russia-Ukraine con-flict can be viewed as a continuation of the East-West confrontation since the Cold War,a prologue to the world's great chang-es unseen in a century,and,more signifi-cantly,an important variable that will bring about a radical transformation of the global landscape,which previously hap-pened gradually,at a certain historic moment.First,the Russia-Ukraine conflict will inflict a heavy blow to the dominance of the West,which,relying on the virtual economy as the main economic driver,has thereby reaped the world's wealth.It will initiate a historical process where manu-facturing countries and those rich in natural resources will be able to compete on an equal footing with their Western counterparts.Second,the Russia-Ukraine conflict has further awakened the aware-ness for strategic autonomy in most countries and regions around the world.Consequently,an increasing number of global great and middle powers have been shifting alliances in light of national interests.Third,the Russia-Ukraine con-flict will lead to the end of the traditional economic globalization dominated by the West,notably the United States.A new type of economic globalization with emerging economies as the mainstay will be unstop-pable.Fourth,the Russia-Ukraine conflict may represent a historical turning point for the end of American hegemony.The world power structure characterized by the co-existence of"one hegemon and multiple powers"will become increasingly pluralistic,diversified,and multi-polarized.Fifth,in the context of the accelerating evolution of global geopolitical,economic,military,and diplomatic relations,Eurasia may return to center stage in major-coun-try competition and cooperation,both politically and economically.Sixth,despite all the difficulties,obstacles,and short-term pains that may arise,there is no doubt that the world will revive as it moves towards the building of a community with a shared future for mankind.

Russia-Ukraine conflictglobal landscapeEurasia

陈文玲

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中国国际经济交流中心

中国国际经济交流中心执行局

中国国际经济交流中心学术委员会

俄乌冲突 世界格局 亚欧版块

2022

国际研究参考
中国现代国际关系研究院

国际研究参考

CHSSCD
影响因子:0.204
ISSN:1009-5055
年,卷(期):2022.(2)
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