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对冲燃烧锅炉两侧主蒸汽温度偏差的预测模型及问题诊断

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近几年为控制发电成本和污染物排放,发电企业选择混煤掺烧和低氮燃烧器改造的方案,燃烧不稳定局部热传导变差等问题引起的受热面汽温偏差现象频发.分析了汽温偏差的理论影响因素,并基于某 600 MW机组汽温偏差的实际问题,理论选择输入变量共 56 个,建立了 PLS-GA-SVR 的汽温偏差回归预测模型,分析了汽温偏差对主要输入参数的敏感度,筛选了影响汽温偏差的关键参数.计算结果表明:经过变量筛选可以在不影响回归效果的前提下大幅缩减模型的输入变量个数,10 个变量输入的 GA-SVR 模型预测结果的均方根误差和可决系数分别为 5.152 和 0.879,氧量和 CD 磨煤机的给煤量是影响汽温偏差最关键的参数.现场试验结果表明:磨煤机的煤粉分配不均是导致汽温偏差大的主要原因.
Prediction Model and Problem Diagnosis on Main Steam Temperature Deviation of Opposed Firing Boiler
In recent years,in order to control the cost and pollutant emissions,the scheme of coal mixing and low nitrogen burner modification is applied.Steam temperature deviation on heating surface caused by combustion instability and poor heat conduction variation is frequent.In this paper,the theoretical influencing factors of steam temperature deviation were analyzed,56 input variables of the prediction model were selected.The model based on PLS-GA-SVR algorithm is established.The sensitivity of the steam temperature deviation to the main input parameters is analyzed,and the key parameters are screened.The calculation results show that the number of input variables can be greatly reduced without affecting the regression effect.The root mean square error and R-squared of the results predicted by GA-SVR model with 10 variables were 5.152 and 0.879.The oxygen and the coal feed of mill C and D are the most critical parameters which affects the steam temperature deviation.The field measurement results show that the uneven distribution of pulverized coal is the main reason in this question.

power plant boilermain steam temperature deviationprediction modelvariable screeninggenetic algorithm(GA)

丁皓轩、李松山、唐文、严文龙、郝志兵、马永昱

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中电华创(苏州)电力技术研究有限公司,江苏 苏州 215000

黄冈大别山发电有限责任公司,湖北 黄冈 438000

淮南平圩发电有限责任公司,安徽 淮南 232000

电站锅炉 主蒸汽温度偏差 预测模型 变量筛选 遗传算法

2024

锅炉技术
上海锅炉厂有限公司

锅炉技术

北大核心
影响因子:0.409
ISSN:1672-4763
年,卷(期):2024.55(2)
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