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地区创业比较优势演化——路径依赖抑或路径跃迁

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高质量创业不仅是解决居民就业问题的有效途径,更是推动经济高质量发展的重要引擎.本文借鉴产品空间框架理论,在定义地区创业项目比较优势的基础上,利用1996~2020年中国工商注册企业数据首次测算了337个地级市创业发展的路径依赖指数,并界定各地区创业比较优势演化的具体模式,借此研判我国创业发展的总体质量水平.研究发现以下3个基本结论.(1)中国创业整体上呈现为路径依赖模式,反映出我国创业发展存在低质量趋同问题.仅有少数发达地区可以成功地脱离创业路径依赖,开拓新兴产业疆域,实现创业比较优势的整体跃迁.(2)金融发展水平、高等教育质量水平、人口流动水平的提升均有利于地区创业比较优势摆脱路径依赖、实现跃迁式发展.(3)区域协调联动发展有助于各地区打破创业的路径依赖锁定.本文从比较优势演化分析的角度为地区创业发展质量测度研究提供了新的探索视角,也为政府激发市场活力、推动创业高质量发展提供了理论支撑.
The Evolution of Regional Entrepreneurial Comparative Advantage:Path Dependence or Path Transition
High-quality entrepreneurship is not only an effective way to improve employment rate but also a significant driving force to promote high-quality economic development.Based on the product space framework theory,we define the comparative advantage of regional entrepreneurial projects,and adopt the data of National Business Registration Enterprises(1996-2020)to calculate the path dependence index of entrepreneurial development across 337 prefecture-level cities in China for the first time.and defines the specific evolution pattern of entre-preneurial comparative advantage in each region,so as to study and judge the overall quality level of entrepreneurial development in China.Our study shows that:(1)Chinese entrepreneurship is inclined to follow a path-dependent pattern,reflecting the serious low-quality conver-gence problem in China's entrepreneurial development.Only a few developed regions can successfully break away from the path dependence,open new industries and realize the overall transition of entrepreneurial comparative advantage.(2)Improvement in financial development,edu-cation quality,and population mobility can contribute to enabling the regional entrepreneurial comparative advantage to get rid of path depen-dence and realize leapfrog development.(3)Regional coordinated and interconnected development can also help all regions break the path de-pendency lock of entrepreneurship.From the perspective of comparative advantage evolution analysis,this paper provides a new exploration perspective for the measurement of regional entrepreneurial development quality,and also provides theoretical support for the government to stimulate market vitality and promote high-quality entrepreneurial development.

high-quality entrepreneurshipentrepreneurial comparative advantagespath dependenceregional coordination

刘啟仁、吴绍永、冯桂媚

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广州大学经济与统计学院

上海财经大学经济学院

高质量创业 创业比较优势 路径依赖 区域联动

2025

管理世界
中华人民共和国国务院发展研究中心

管理世界

北大核心
影响因子:3.659
ISSN:1002-5502
年,卷(期):2025.41(1)