首页|智慧健康养老与医疗费用——来自智慧健康养老示范基地的证据

智慧健康养老与医疗费用——来自智慧健康养老示范基地的证据

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中国已进入深度老龄化社会并伴随着医疗费用的持续攀升,智慧健康养老作为"互联网+医疗健康"下的新型养老模式能否降低老年医疗费用从而实现医疗减负?本文构建世代交叠模型,基于中国家庭追踪调查(CFPS)2012~2020年5期面板数据,使用多期双重差分法检验智慧健康养老对医疗费用的影响.研究发现:智慧健康养老试点政策使老年人住院概率降低了3.84%,使住院费用、门诊费用、总医疗费用和自费医疗费用分别降低了31.26%、57.65%、63.91%、47.53%,在经过一系列稳健性检验后,此结论仍然成立.机制分析发现,智慧健康养老通过降低交通成本、加强慢性病管理、增加预防性锻炼等方式降低医疗费用,但是其促进"享老"发展的作用还有待提高.异质性分析发现,智慧健康养老提供生活照料、健康管理和情感陪护等服务;智慧健康养老的发展满足"普惠型养老服务"的要求,对不同人群特征和地区特征的老年群体均发挥了医疗减负作用.本文研究结论为积极应对人口老龄化和减轻老年人医疗负担提供了有益参考.
Smart Elderly Health Care and Medical Expenses:Evidence from the Smart Elderly Health Care Demonstration Sites
As China's aging population escalates healthcare costs,this paper explores whether smart elderly health care—a novel"In-temet+Healthcare"model—can reduce medical expenses and alleviate healthcare burdens.The study employs an overlapping generations model and a staggered difference-in-differences(DID)approach,utilizing data from the China Family Panel Studies(CFPS)spanning from 2012 to 2020 to evaluate the policy's impact on medical costs.The analysis reveals that pilot policies for smart elderly health care reduced elderly hospitalization rates by 3.84%and significantly lowered inpatient costs,outpatient costs,total medical expenses,and out-of-pocket expenses by 31.26%,57.65%,63.91%,and 47.53%,respectively.After a series of robustness tests,this conclusion still holds.The study identifies key mechanisms,including lowering transportation costs,improving chronic disease management,and encouraging preventive exer-cise,though its potential to foster"enjoyable aging"remains limited.Further analysis highlights its effectiveness in reducing healthcare bur-dens across diverse demographic and regional elderly populations through essential services such as daily care,health management,and emotional support,aligning with the goals of"all-inclusive elderly care services".These findings offer valuable insights for addressing pop-ulation aging and mitigating healthcare challenges in aging societies.

smart elderly health careMedical Expenseall-inclusive elderly care services

解垩、杨玉琪

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山东大学经济学院

智慧健康养老 医疗费用 普惠型养老服务

2025

管理世界
中华人民共和国国务院发展研究中心

管理世界

北大核心
影响因子:3.659
ISSN:1002-5502
年,卷(期):2025.41(1)