首页|信用风险下供应链预订契约协调效力研究

信用风险下供应链预订契约协调效力研究

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以预付商业信用为研究对象,通过在报童模型中融入定金、折扣、信用风险等因素,构建供应链预订交易分散决策模型,求解下游的最优订货决策、上游的最优交货与信用决策.系统提出预订契约概念,分别在履约和违约情境中验证其协调效力.研究发现:预订契约存在订单激励效果,表现为订货量随着定金和折扣的降低而增大;违约情境的订货量大于履约情境的订货量,且随着市场风险增加,两者差异越来越大;当下游支付定金很少、违约概率很大时,上游会削减交货量,引发供应链批量冲突现象;无论是履约还是违约情境,预订契约都能完美协调供应链.
Coordination Efficacy Analysis for Preorder Contract in Supply Chain under Credit Risk
Based on the characteristics of pre-payment trade credit,a supply chain preorder decen-tralized decision model is established by incorporating factors such as the deposit,discount and credit risk into the Newsvendor.We derive the optimal order quantity for the downstream,and the optimal delivered quantity and the credit decision for the upstream.Moreover,we systematically propose the concept of a preorder contract,and examine its efficacy in both fulfillment and default scenarios.The result finds that preorder contract can stimulate the order quantity.Specifically,the order quantity can be improved by lowering the deposit or increasing the discount.In comparison with fulfilment sce-nario,the order quantity in default scenario is larger,and the difference becomes more significant as market risk increases.If the downstream pays a small deposit or shows a large default probability,the upstream will reduce the order quantity,leading to lot-size inconsistency in the supply chain.Whether in the fulfillment or default scenario,preorder contract can perfectly coordinate the supply chain.

preorder contractsupply chain coordinationcredit risktrade credit

陈志明、黄苹

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广东金融学院信用管理学院

预订契约 供应链协调 信用风险 商业信用

教育部人文社会科学研究青年基金资助项目广东省自然科学基金资助项目广东省哲学社会科学规划资助项目

22YJC6300122024A1515012642GD22XGL29

2024

管理学报
华中科技大学

管理学报

CSTPCDCSSCICHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:1.38
ISSN:1672-884X
年,卷(期):2024.21(10)