甘肃省能源碳排放和经济增长的脱钩效应研究
The Research on Decoupling Effect of Energy Carbon Emission and Economic Growth in Gansu Province
胡誉潇 1王嘉瑞 1柳江1
作者信息
- 1. 兰州财经大学经济学院,甘肃 兰州 730010
- 折叠
摘要
推动能源碳排放与经济发展脱钩是实现"双碳"战略目标与经济高质量转型的关键议题.以甘肃省为研究对象,选取甘肃省2000-2021年的能源消费、经济增长等时间序列数据,通过构建Tapio脱钩弹性分析模型实证分析了甘肃省能源碳排放与经济增长间的脱钩效应.研究发现,2001-2012年甘肃省经济增长与能源碳排放基本上处于"弱脱钩"的脱钩状态;2013-2016年呈现出"弱脱钩-强脱钩-扩张连接"交替变化状态;2017-2021年Tap-io脱钩弹性指数正在逐年下降,在2021年达到"强脱钩"状态.这与传统能源的消费占比有很大关系,在此基础上,提出了提高能源利用效率,建立低碳示范区,大力发展新能源,加快甘肃省产业结构转型升级等政策建议.
Abstract
Promoting the decoupling of energy carbon emissions from economic development is a key issue in re-alizing the goals of the "dual carbon" strategy and the high-quality transformation of the economy.Taking Gansu Province as the research object,the time series data of energy consumption and economic growth in Gansu Province from 2000 to 2021 were selected to empirically analyze the decoupling effect between energy carbon emissions and economic growth in Gansu Province by constructing the Tapio decoupling elasticity analysis model.The results show that economic growth and energy carbon emissions in Gansu Province were basically in a "weakly decoupled" decoupling state from 2001 to 2012;from 2013 to 2016,there was a "weakly decoupled-strongly decoupled-ex-panded connection" alternating state;and the Tapio decoupling elasticity index is decreasing year by year from 2017 to 2021,and will reach a "strong decoupling" state in 2021.This has a lot to do with the share of consumption of traditional energy sources.On this basis,policy suggestions such as improving energy utilization efficiency,estab-lishing low-carbon demonstration zones,vigorously developing new energy sources,and accelerating the transforma-tion and upgrading of the industrial structure in Gansu Province are put forward.
关键词
"双碳"战略/Tapio脱钩效应/能源碳排放/经济增长Key words
"Dual carbon" strategy/Tapio decoupling effect/energy carbon emissions/economic growth引用本文复制引用
出版年
2024
NETL
NSTL
维普
万方数据