首页|数字金融对中国经济韧性的影响研究

数字金融对中国经济韧性的影响研究

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文章以数字金融为视角,基于2013—2022年中国31个省(区、市)的面板数据,在构建指标体系的基础上,运用Theil指数、ESDA和空间自相关分析等手段分析经济韧性的时间和空间变化特点。同时,使用SPDM模型确定影响地区经济韧性的主要因素,通过综合解析明确了中国经济韧性时空演化的规律和其具体的影响因素。研究结果显示:(1)总体上,经济韧性呈现出波动性增长的趋势,东部地区的韧性表现最为突出。(2)尽管经济韧性正在逐步趋向平衡,但东部、中部、西部3个主要区域之间的差距依然显著。(3)经济韧性的地理分布特点主要是"东部较强,西部较弱"。(4)数字金融的发展和普及对经济韧性提升具有显著的推动作用,且这种效应具有明显的正向空间溢出效应。
Research on the Impact of Digital Finance on China's Economic Resilience
From the perspective of digital finance, based on the skin data of 30 provinces, cities and regions in China from 2013 to 2022, this paper analyzes the temporal and spatial variation characteristics of economic resil-ience by means of Theil index, ESDA and spatial autocorrelation analysis on the basis of constructing the evaluation index system. At the same time, the SPDM model is used to determine the main factors affecting regional economic resilience, and the spatiotemporal evolution law and specific influencing factors of China's economic resilience are clarified through comprehensive analysis. The results show that:(1)In general, the resilience of the economy shows a fluctuating growth trend, and the resilience of the eastern region is the most prominent.(2)Although the economic resilience is gradually becoming balanced, there are still significant disparities between the eastern, central and western regions.(3)The geographical distribution characteristic of economic resilience is mainly"stronger in the east and weaker in the west".(4)The development and popularization of digital finance has a significant promoting effect on the improvement of economic resilience, and this effect has a clear positive spatial spillover effect.

economic resiliencedigital financespatio-temporal evolutionpanel threshold data model

杨立勋、苏子淇

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西北师范大学经济学院,甘肃 兰州 730030

经济韧性 数字金融 时空演化 面板门槛数据模型

国家社会科学基金西部项目

22XJL012

2024

甘肃科技纵横
甘肃省科技情报学会

甘肃科技纵横

影响因子:0.337
ISSN:1672-6375
年,卷(期):2024.53(7)