首页|欠发达地区农业农村现代化发展水平的时空演化特征及影响因素研究

欠发达地区农业农村现代化发展水平的时空演化特征及影响因素研究

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农业农村现代化是中国式现代化中不可或缺的一部分,尤其对于欠发达地区而言,促进其农业农村发展对于实现乡村振兴具有重要意义.为此,本文以西部欠发达省份云南为例,借助空间计量和障碍度等模型,分析云南省农业农村现代化发展的时空演化特征及其内部制约因素和外部驱动因素.研究发现,云南省农业农村现代化发展水平随时间推移呈稳步提升趋势,各地区发展水平在空间上呈正相关聚集;障碍因素随时间推移发生改变,从公路网密度到卫生医疗条件、文化建设水平、科技人员数量,再到乡村旅游收入;财政投入力度和科研水平对全省农业农村现代化具有显著正向空间溢出效应,经济发展水平和粮食播种比例则呈现负向空间溢出.因此,应着力缩小各地区发展差距,加大乡村医疗、文化、科技人员等基础投资,注重产业协同发展,加强区域合作与互补.
Study on the spatio-temporal evolution characteristics and influencing factors of agricultural and rural modernization development level in underdeveloped areas
Agricultural and rural modernization is an indispensable part of China's modernization,especially for the less developed areas,promoting their agricultural and rural development is of great significance to achieve rural revitalization.Therefore,this paper takes Yunnan,a less developed province in western China,as the research object,and analyzes the spatio-temporal evolution characteristics,internal constraints and external driving factors of agricultural and rural modernization development in the province with the help of spatial metrology and obstacle degree models.The results show that the modernization level of agriculture and rural areas in Yunnan has a steady increasing trend over time,and the development level of each region is positively correlated with each other in space.The obstacle factors change over time,from the density of highway network to health and medical conditions,the level of cultural construction,the number of scientific and technological personnel,and then to the income of rural tourism;The level of financial investment and scientific research has a significant positive spatial spillover to agricultural and rural modernization in Yunnan,while the level of economic development and the proportion of grain seeding have a negative spatial spillover.Therefore,efforts should be made to narrow the development gap between different regions,increase basic investment in rural medical care,culture,scientific and technological personnel,pay attention to the coordinated development of industries,and strengthen regional cooperation and complementarity.

agriculture and rural modernizationspatial econometric modelobstacle degree model

黄秋妍、潘海岚

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云南民族大学 经济学院,昆明 650000

农业农村现代化 空间计量模型 障碍度模型

2023年云南省哲学社会科学创新团队项目

2023CX05

2024

甘肃农业
甘肃农业杂志社

甘肃农业

影响因子:0.211
ISSN:1673-9019
年,卷(期):2024.(2)
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