首页|数字金融对城市碳排放的非线性影响研究

数字金融对城市碳排放的非线性影响研究

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数字金融在经济社会全面绿色转型中发挥政策集成和导向作用,是降碳减排的重要工具。本文基于金融领域的数字化变革现实,以 2011-2021 年中国 284 个地级市面板数据为基础,运用固定效应模型、中介效应模型和调节效应模型探究数字金融对碳排放的非线性影响及潜在机制。研究发现:数字金融对碳排放存在先增后减的倒"U"型影响,这一趋势通过一系列稳健性检验得以证实。异质性分析表明,这种倒"U"型影响主要发生在外围城市和资源型城市,在非资源型城市表现为负向线性关系。中介效应分析凸显了技术创新和创业活动作为数字金融影响碳排放的关键途径。调节效应分析强调了地方政府经济增长目标将削弱数字金融对碳排放的倒"U"型影响,环境治理目标则强化两者的倒"U"型关系。地方政府应从数字金融的发展方向、作用方向和配置方向着手,释放碳减排红利。
On Nonlinear Impact of Digital Finance on Urban Carbon Emissions
Digital finance played an integral and directive role in the comprehensive green transformation of the economic and social spheres,serving as a pivotal tool for carbon emissions reduction.This paper,based on the context of the digital revolution within the financial sector,employed panel data of 284 prefecture-level cities in China from 2011 to 2021 and adopted fixed effects model,mediating effect model,and moderating effect model to explore the nonlinear impact of digital finance on carbon emissions and its potential mechanisms.The research findings indicated that:the digital finance had an inverted U-shaped impact on carbon emissions,namely a trend of initially rising and subsequently falling,which was confirmed by plenty of robust testing.Heterogeneity analysis showed that this inverted U-shaped impact predominantly occurred in peripheral and resource-based cities while a negative linear relationship was discerned within non resource-based cities.Furthermore,the verification of mechanism underscored the significance of technological innovation and entrepreneurial activities as pivotal channels through which digital finance affected carbon emissions.Furthermore,it stressed that local governmental economic growth targets would mitigate the inverted U-shaped impact of digital finance on carbon emissions,whereas tasks for environmental governance could amplify this inverted U-shaped relationship.Hence local authorities should start from the development direction,the working direction and the resource allocation of digital finance to unleash the dividends of carbon reduction.

digital financecarbon emissionsinverted U-shapedinnovation and entrepreneurshipgovernment's dual targets

马卫刚、王兴启

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石河子大学 经济与管理学院,新疆 石河子 832000

数字金融 碳排放 倒"U"型 创新创业 政府双重目标

国家社会科学基金项目

23BTJ003

2024

国土资源科技管理
国土资源部科技与国际合作司 成都理工大学

国土资源科技管理

CSTPCDCHSSCD
影响因子:0.519
ISSN:1009-4210
年,卷(期):2024.41(1)
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