On Analysis of Trade Prospect of International ICT Industry Based on Bootstrap Percolation Model
The information and communication technology(ICT)industry is the core sector in the development of the global digital economy.The trade network of the interactive international ICT can objectively reflect the spatiotemporal pattern of ICT trade.This paper used complex network analysis to detect the topological and centrality characteristics of the international ICT trade network,and used the Bootstrap Percolation Model to discuss the crisis spreading process of ICT trade.It was found that the current overall trade intensity of the international ICT industry expanded,showing a clear regional concentration trend,but the overall dynamism of the trade links,the trade scope and the network transmission efficiency reduced significantly.Furthermore,the overall crisis contagion of major ICT trading countries and regions was higher than before.Therefore,a combination of preventing and controlling point crises in core trading countries and regions with preventing regional linkage crises in core sectors will be an effective measure to prevent the global spread of crisis.
ICT industry tradecomplex networksbootstrap percolationcrisis spreadprospect analysis
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