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北部湾城市群经济协同发展研究——基于经济联系视角

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文章以北部湾城市群的全部地级市、县域为研究对象,运用修正引力模型,测度 2008-2020 年北部湾城市群 15 个市、县之间的经济联系强度,并分析北部湾城市群的城市间联系强度、省域间经济联系强度、经济联系总强度.研究发现:(1)北部湾城市群各城市之间的经济联系强度值呈逐年上升的趋势,且较弱联系强度及以上的城市组合数大致都在增加,极弱联系强度的城市组合数则在减少,但北部湾城市群各城市间的经济联系强度仍处于相对弱的阶段.(2)北部湾城市群中同省域的城市经济联系相对紧密,省域之间的城市经济联系相对松散,且海南省的城市尤其是"三县"的内外部经济联系强度亟待提高.(3)北部湾城市群的经济联系强度总值呈近似线性增长趋势,但北部湾城市群各城市的经济联系发展不平衡,经济联系强度分层明显,且北部湾城市群发展的"一湾双轴、一核两极"的城市群框架并未形成,"一湾"经济发展活力不足,"双轴"已初具规模,"一核"有待加强建设,"两极"正逐渐增强集聚作用.由此,文章提出相对应的优化建议,以促进北部湾城市群的经济协同发展.
Research on Economic Collaborative Development of Beibu Gulf Urban Agglomeration:Based on the Perspective of Economic Linkages
This article takes all prefecture level cities and counties in the Beibu Gulf Urban Agglomeration as the research object,applies the modified gravity model to measure the economic connection strength between 15 cities and counties in the Beibu Gulf Urban Agglomeration from 2008 to 2020,and analyzes the inter city connection strength,inter provincial economic connection strength,and total economic connection strength of the Beibu Gulf Urban Agglomeration.The research has found that:(1)The economic connection strength between cities in the Beibu Gulf urban agglomeration shows an increasing trend year by year,and the number of city combinations with weak connection strength and above is generally increasing,while the number of city combinations with extremely weak connection strength is decreasing.However,the economic connection strength between cities in the Beibu Gulf urban agglomeration is still a a relatively weak stage.(2)The economic connections between cities within the same province in the Beibu Gulf urban agglomeration are relatively close,while the economic connections between cities outside the province are relatively loose.Moreover,the strength of the internal and external economic connections between cities in Hainan Province,especially the"three counties",urgently needs to be improved.(3)The total economic strength of the Beibu Gulf Urban Agglomeration shows an approximate linear growth trend,but the economic development of various cities in the Beibu Gulf Urban Agglomeration is imbalanced,with obvious stratification of economic strength.And the"one bay with two axes,one core with two poles"urban agglomeration framework for the development of the Beibu Gulf Urban Agglomeration has not been formed.The economic development vitality of the"one bay"is insufficient,and the"two axes"have begun to take shape,and the"one core"needs to be strengthened and constructed and the"two poles"are gradually enhancing their agglomeration effect.Therefore,the article proposes corresponding optimization suggestions to promote the economic coordinated development of the Beibu Gulf urban agglomeration.

Beibu Gulf Urban Agglomerationcollaborative developmenteconomic linkagesmodified gravity model

占金刚、杨晓彦、廖贵雲

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北部湾大学 经济管理学院,广西 钦州 535011

北部湾城市群 协同发展 经济联系 修正引力模型

2021年广西哲学社会科学规划研究课题2023年广西哲学社会科学研究课题

21BYJ02723FLJ007

2024

国土资源科技管理
国土资源部科技与国际合作司 成都理工大学

国土资源科技管理

CSTPCDCHSSCD
影响因子:0.519
ISSN:1009-4210
年,卷(期):2024.41(4)
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