首页|数字金融对地方政府债务的影响研究——基于省级面板数据的实证检验

数字金融对地方政府债务的影响研究——基于省级面板数据的实证检验

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本文基于 2015-2021 年中国省级面板数据实证研究数字金融对地方政府债务的影响,发现两者呈现出显著为负的非线性关系,数字金融的发展对地方政府优化自身债务、降低系统性金融风险具有积极作用.采用系统聚类将 31 个省(区、市)分为发展中、次发达、发达地区三大组别,发现数字金融对地方政府债务的抑制作用在发展中地区表现得最为显著.市场化水平在数字金融抑制地方政府债务过程中具有正向调节作用,特别是当市场化水平跨越一定的门槛值以后,数字金融对地方政府债务的影响显著增强.在此基础上,提出了数字金融背景下分类施策缓解各级地方政府债务问题的相关建议.
Research on the Impact of Digital Finance on Local Government Debt:Empirical Tests Based on China Provincial Panel Data
This article empirically studies the impact of digital finance on local government debt based on provincial panel data from 2015 to 2021 in China,finds that there is a significant negative nonlinear relationship between the two.The development of digital finance has a positive effect on local governments'optimization of their own debt and reduction of systemic financial risks.By using systematic clustering to divide 31 provinces(autonomous regions and municipalities)into three major groups:developing,underdeveloped,and developed regions,it is found that the restraining effect of digital finance on local government debt is most significant in developing regions.The level of marketization has a positive regulatory effect in the process of local government debt suppression by digital finance,especially when the marketization level crosses a certain threshold value,the impact of digital finance on local government debt is significantly enhanced.On this basis,relevant suggestions are put forward to alleviate the local government debt problems at all levels in the context of digital finance through categorized measures.

digital financelocal government debtmarketizationthreshold effect

王春雷、林根仕、黄素心

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广西大学 经济学院,广西 南宁 530004

广西民族大学 经济学院,广西 南宁 530006

数字金融 地方政府债务 市场化 门槛效应

广西哲学社会科学规划课题

22FJY025

2024

国土资源科技管理
国土资源部科技与国际合作司 成都理工大学

国土资源科技管理

CSTPCDCHSSCD
影响因子:0.519
ISSN:1009-4210
年,卷(期):2024.41(4)
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