Production-Living-Ecological Spatial Conflicts Measurement and Simulation Research in Guangzhou City
With the rapid of socio-economic development,the conflicts between multi-functional land spaces are intensifying day by day.Assessing the conflict level of production-living-ecological space is of significance in terms of harmonious regional development,rational distribution of land resources and the creation of an ecological civilization.This work takes Guangzhou City as the research object and uses multi-period land use data to summarize the defining features of the spatial transformations of Guangzhou City's production-living-ecological space from 2000 to 2020.It uses the spatial conflict measurement model and future land use simulation to calculate and forecast the evolutionary features and trends of the spatial conflict of the production-living-ecological in the city of Guangzhou for the period 2000-2030.Findings are as below:(1)From 2000 to 2020,the area share of living-production space in Guangzhou increased significantly,while the proportions of production-ecological space and ecological production space show a declining trend.The area of ecological space fluctuated slightly;(2)From 2000 to 2020,the proportion of strong spatial conflicts in Guangzhou gradually increased,and the level of spatial conflicts showed an upward trend;(3)By 2030,under the natural development scenario,the ecological priority scenario,and the comprehensive development scenario,the spatial conflict level of Guangzhou will increase significantly,and the strong spatial conflict will mainly expand around the central urban area,showing the characteristics of more in the east and south and less in the west and north;(4)According to the production-living-ecological space comprehensive development scenario of Guangzhou in 2030,Guangzhou's land space is divided into five functional areas and it will be proposed to strengthen ecological protection and actively implement ecological restoration in these zones,maintaining the red line of cultivated land and continuously improving agricultural ecological benefits,countermeasures and suggestions for improving the spatial structure of cities and facilitating the development of new types of urbanization.
"production-living-ecological"spacesspatial conflictPLUS modelmulti-scenario simulationland use