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新时代中国能源安全体系构建

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作为全球能源消费大国和进口大国,我国能源经济面临着国际能源复杂格局和风险变化带来的巨大挑战.特别是多维度内外部风险交织叠加,已然成为我国能源安全的重要挑战之一.能源安全正朝着体系化、复杂化和网络化的方向发展.要科学解决我国能源安全面临的多重风险挑战,需要立足国家能源治理层面建立全球风险视域下的新能源安全观,强化国内国际两个市场、两种资源间的联动效应,着力打造以我为主的能源安全治理体系.本文提出"一二三一"能源安全治理体系框架:一个总体安全观旨在实现我国能源系统的整体安全,通过各种综合手段来稳定满足我国未来的能源需求;二维风险要素则强调既要警惕国际输入型风险对能源安全的冲击,也要应对国内变革下能源供应结构性问题的影响,既要防范传统地缘冲突等风险,也要应对新型的气候冲击等风险;三类安全保障包括能源市场安全、能源生产和供应安全以及能源公平正义性;一套政策评估体系即综合集成多维风险,形成风险耦合机制下的政策评估系统融合方案.
Construction of China's Energy Security System in the New Era
As a majorglobal energy consumer and importer,China is confronted with considerable challenges associated with the intricate patterns and risks inherent to international energy markets.In particular,the complex interweaving and superposition of multidimensional risks have emerged as a significant challenge to China's energy security.We identify a significant shift in the global energy security landscape,marked by the emergence of novel risks that have become central to the evolving global energy pattern.The concept of energy security is transforming into a more systematic,complex,and networked framework.In order to effectively address the multifaceted risks confronting China's energy security,a redefined energy security concept is essential.This new concept should be grounded in a global risk perspective while being anchored at the national level of energy governance.This calls for the reinforcement of the interconnectivity between the domestic and international energy markets and resources,with the objective of establishing a self-reliant energy security governance system.We put forth a four-dimensional governing framework that includes an overarching security concept,the identification of two-dimensional risks,the provision of three types of security guarantees,and the implementation of a policy evaluation system.The overarching security concept is designed to ensure comprehensive security of China's energy system,thereby guaranteeing a stable and reliable energy supply to meet future demands.The two-dimensional risks highlight the necessity to be vigilant about the influence of international imported risks on energy security,as well as the impact of structural issues in energy supply in the context of domestic transformations.Meanwhile,it is also crucial to safeguard against traditional risks such as geopolitical conflicts and emerging forms of climate-related disruptions.The three categories of security encompass energy market stability,energy production and supply security,and energy equity and justice.A policy assessment system should integrate these multidimensional risks into a unified policy assessment systems under a risk coupling mechanism.

risksenergy securitygoverning framework

姬强、孙晓蕾、马嫣然

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中国科学院科技战略咨询研究院 100190

多维度风险 能源安全 治理框架

国家社会科学基金重大项目

23&ZD093

2024

国外社会科学
中国社会科学院信息情报研究院

国外社会科学

CSSCICHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:0.225
ISSN:1000-4777
年,卷(期):2024.(4)