Construction of grey modelfor prediction of Clonorchis sinensis infection
Objective To construct the grey model(1,1) for the prediction of Clonorchis sinensis infection.Methods The time related sequence was set up based on the data of Clonorchis sinensis infection in Huachuan County Heilongjiang Province from July 2013 to June 2014 collected from the monitoring system for case/symptom of clonorchiasis.According to the principle of matrix operation,the data were analyzed with series of function like MINVERSE in EXCEL software to establish the grey prediction model(1,1) which was evaluated for the accuracy subsequently.Results Total information of 271 people with Clonorchis sinensis infection was collected from July 2013 to June 2014,and the time response function of the model was Xt+1'=16.0245e-0.0787t while C value was 0.5884,so the accuracy was also qualified.Conclusion The grey model (1,1) for the prediction of Clonorchis sinensis infection was preliminarily constructed,which provides the basis for prediction of Clonorchis sinensis infection in future.
NETL
NSTL
万方数据
维普
