首页|1990-2019年中国一氧化碳中毒疾病负担分析

1990-2019年中国一氧化碳中毒疾病负担分析

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目的 了解 1990-2019 年中国一氧化碳(carbon monoxide,CO)中毒的疾病负担情况,为预防 CO 中毒提供依据.方法 利用 2019 年全球疾病负担数据库,分析 1990-2019 年中国CO中毒在不同性别、不同年龄、不同国家间的发病、死亡及伤残调整寿命年(disability adjusted life year,DALY),并采用 Joinpoint 回归模型分析 CO 中毒的疾病负担变化趋势.结果 2019 年中国 CO中毒发病人数(24.03 万人)较 1990 年(21.17 万人)升高 13.51%,世标发病率(21.82/10 万)较 1990 年(16.20/10 万)升高 34.69%;死亡人数(1.50 万人)较 1990 年(1.27 万人)升高 18.11%,世标死亡率(0.93/10 万)较 1990 年(1.18/10 万)下降 21.19%;DALY(57.79 万人年)较 1990 年(74.76 万人年)下降 22.70%,DALY 率(40.92/10 万)较 1990 年(62.91/10 万)下降 34.95%.1990-2019 年中国男性 CO中毒的发病人数、死亡人数、DALY 人数均多于女性,差异有统计学意义(t值分别为 8.29、15.80 和 19.91,P<0.05).2019 年中国 CO 中毒世标发病率在 40~79 岁、世标死亡率在<60 岁、世标DALY率在 30~59 岁人群水平较低,而世标发病率在 80 岁以后持续上升,世标死亡率和 DALY率均在 60 岁以后快速上升,到85~90 岁达到顶峰.1990-2019 年中国 CO中毒的发病率呈现升高趋势,死亡率和 DALY 率呈现下降趋势,平均年度变化百分比(average annual percent change,AAPC)分别为 1.05%、-0.81%、-1.42%.1990-2019 年中国 CO中毒的世标发病率与全球其他国家相比处于较低水平,世标死亡率及世标 DALY 率与全球及其他国家相比呈现较高水平.结论 1990-2019 年中国 CO中毒的发病率呈波动上升趋势,死亡率及 DALY率呈波动下降趋势,男性以及≥60 岁人群尤其是≥80 岁高龄老人的疾病负担较重,今后应重点关注.
Analysis of disease burden of carbon monoxide poisoning in China,1990-2019
Objective To investigate the disease burden of carbon monoxide(CO)poisoning in China from 1990 to 2019,and to provide a basis for the prevention of CO poisoning.Methods Based on the 2019 Global Burden of Disease database,the incidence,mortality,and disability adjusted life year(DALY)of CO poisoning in China from 1990 to 2019 were analyzed by sex and age and compared with other countries.A Joinpoint regression model was used to analyze the trend of the disease burden of CO poisoning.Results In 2019,the number of new cases of CO poisoning in China was 240 300,with an increase of 13.51%from 211 700 cases in 1990.The standardized incidence rate by the world standard population was 21.82 per 100 000,with an increase of 34.69%from 16.20 per 100 000 in 1990.The number of deaths in 2019 was 15 000,with an increase of 18.11%from 12 700 deaths in 1990.The standardized mortality rate by the world standard population was 0.93 per 100 000,with a decrease of 21.19%from 1.18 per 100 000 in 1990.The DALY decreased by 22.70%from 747 600 person-years in 1990 to 577 900 person-years in 2019,and the DALY rate decreased by 34.95%from 62.91 per 100 000 in 1990 to 40.92 per 100 000 in 2019.From 1990 to 2019,the number of cases,deaths,and DALYs due to CO poisoning in China were all significantly higher in males than in females(t=8.29,15.80,19.91,P<0.05).In 2019,the standardized incidence rate of CO poisoning in China was low among people aged 40 to 79 years,and increased continually beyond 80-year-olds;the standardized mortality rate was low within 60-year-olds,and the standardized DALY rate was low among 30-to 59-year-olds,both of which rapidly increased beyond 60-year-olds and peaked among 85-to 90-year-olds.From 1990 to 2019,the incidence rate of CO poisoning in China showed an increasing trend,while the mortality rate and DALY rate showed a de-creasing trend,with the annual average percent changes being 1.05%,-0.81%,and-1.42%,respectively.Compared with other countries,China had a lower standardized incidence rate and higher standardized mortality and standardized DALY rates of CO poison-ing from 1990 to 2019.Conclusion From 1990 to 2019,CO poisoning in China showed a fluctuating upward trend in the incidence rate and a fluctuating downward trend in the mortality rate and DALY rate,with a heavy disease burden for males and people≥60 years old(especially≥80 years old),whom should be paid attention to in the future.

carbon monoxide poisoningincidencemortalitydisability adjusted life years

麦伟流、冯文浩、周星求

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中山市第五人民医院急诊科,中山 528400

CO中毒 发病率 死亡率 伤残调整寿命年

2024

环境卫生学杂志
中国疾病预防控制中心

环境卫生学杂志

CSTPCD
影响因子:0.735
ISSN:2095-1906
年,卷(期):2024.14(10)
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