首页|综合肺指数对老年低氧型呼吸衰竭患者呼吸机撤机结局的预测价值

综合肺指数对老年低氧型呼吸衰竭患者呼吸机撤机结局的预测价值

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目的 分析综合肺指数(IPI)对老年低氧型呼吸衰竭患者呼吸机撤机结局的预测价值.方法 收集2019年1月-2024年1月锦州市中心医院收治的老年低氧型呼吸衰竭患者151例进行回顾性分析,将撤机后48 h内再次行气管插管、气管切开或死亡的患者纳入撤机失败组(23例),其余为撤机成功组(128例).采用单因素及多因素logistic回归模型分析老年低氧型呼吸衰竭患者呼吸机撤机失败的影响因素,ROC曲线分析IPI评分预测呼吸机撤机结局的价值.结果 单因素分析显示,两组通气时间、入ICU时急性生理与慢性健康评估Ⅱ评分、呼气末二氧化碳分压、呼吸频率、脉率及IPI评分比较,差异均有统计学意义(P<0.05).多因素logistic回归分析结果显示:IPI评分为老年低氧型呼吸衰竭患者呼吸机撤机失败的独立影响因素之一(P<0.05).ROC曲线显示,AUC为0.820[95%CI:0.719~0.920,P<0.001],灵敏度为 70.3%,特异度为 82.6%,最大约登指数为 0.529,IPI评分的最佳临界值为4.77分.IPI<4.77分患者的机械通气时间、ICU住院时间、总住院时间均长于IPI≥4.77分者,IPI<4.77分患者的气管切开率大于IPI≥4.77分者.结论 IPI评分对老年低氧型呼吸衰竭患者呼吸机撤机失败具有较高的预测价值,且IPI<4.77分的患者呼吸机撤机失败的风险较高.
Predictive value of integrated pulmonary index for the outcome of ventilator withdrawal failure in elderly patients with hypoxic respiratory failure
Objective To analyze the predictive value of integrated pulmonary index(IPI)in the outcome of ventilator withdrawal failure in elderly patients with hypoxic respiratory failure.Methods Clinical data of 151 elderly patients with hypoxic re-spiratory failure admitted to Jinzhou Central Hospital from January 2019 to January 2024 were collected and retrospectively analyzed.Patients who underwent tracheal intubation or tracheotomy again or died within 48 hours after withdrawal were included in the failed withdrawal group(23 cases),and the rest were included in the successful withdrawal group(128 cases).Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analysis were performed to analyze the influencing factors of ventilator withdrawal failure in elderly patients with hy-poxic respiratory failure,and ROC curve analysis of IPI score was used to predict the outcome of ventilator withdrawal.Results Uni-variate analysis showed that there were significant differences in ventilation time,acute physiology and chronic health evaluation Ⅱscore at ICU admission,partial pressure of end-tidal carbon dioxide,respiratory rate,pulse rate,and IPI score between the two groups(P<0.05).The results of multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that IPI score was one of the independent factors of ventilator weaning failure in elderly patients with hypoxemic respiratory failure(P<0.05).ROC curves showed that the AUC was 0.820[95%CI:0.719-0.920,P<0.001],the sensitivity was 70.3%,the specificity was 82.6%,the maximum Youden index was 0.529,and the optimal cut-off value for IPI score was 4.77 scores.The duration of mechanical ventilation,ICU stay,and total hospi-tal stay in patients with IPI<4.77 scores were longer than those in patients with IPI≥4.77 scores,and the tracheotomy rate in pa-tients with IPI<4.77 scores was higher than those in patients with IPI≥4.77 scores.Conclusion IPI score has a high predictive value for ventilator withdrawal failure in elderly patients with hypoxic respiratory failure,and patients with IPI<4.77 scores have a higher risk of ventilator withdrawal failure.

Hypoxic respiratory failureIntegrated pulmonary indexVentilator withdrawal failure

吴楠、刘锦、冯献荣

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锦州市中心医院,锦州 121000

低氧型呼吸衰竭 综合肺指数 呼吸机撤机失败

2025

国际老年医学杂志
吉林大学

国际老年医学杂志

影响因子:0.435
ISSN:1674-7593
年,卷(期):2025.46(1)