贸易便利化对我国跨境电商发展的影响研究——基于RCEP成员国的分析
A Study on the Impact of Trade Facilitation on the Development of Cross-border E-commerce in China
武力超 1吴孟煜 2朱桦 2田雯雯2
作者信息
- 1. 厦门大学经济学院国际经济与贸易系;南开大学
- 2. 厦门大学经济学院国际经济与贸易系
- 折叠
摘要
RCEP 的生效标志着全球经贸规模最大、最具发展潜力的自由贸易区的正式落地,将为其成员国的外贸增长提供新动能.在疫情的冲击及贸易保护主义抬头的背景下,跨境电商仍然表现出强劲的增长韧性,但其作为新兴业态模式,仍面临着贸易非便利因素的阻碍.本文聚焦于贸易便利化以及各因素对跨境电商进出口发展的影响.运用主成分分析法建立贸易便利化综合评价体系,并对RCEP成员国 2012-2019 年的贸易便利化水平进行测度,比较成员国各项贸易便利化水平指标差异,随后基于修正后的引力模型对RCEP成员国 2012-2019 年的面板数据进行回归.研究表明,贸易便利化能够显著促进跨境电商进出口的发展,其效应要强于关税水平,且对出口端的影响更大;文化距离在跨境电商业态中的影响要强于地理距离.分指标回归的结果显示,在贸易便利化下的四个一级指标中,金融与电子商务对跨境电商发展的影响最大.基于以上实证结果,本文为中国推进RCEP贸易便利化建设提供新思路.
Abstract
The entry into force of RCEP marks the official landing of the free trade area with the largest scale and the most development potential in the world,which will provide new momentum for the foreign trade growth of its member countries.In recent years,the rise of cross-border e-commerce under the economic background of the impact of the epidemic and the rise of trade protectionism still shows strong growth resilience,but as an emerging business model,it is still facing the obstacles of non-convenient trade factors.This paper focuses on the trade facilitation and the impact of various factors on the development of cross-border e-commerce import and export,uses principal component analysis to establish a comprehensive evaluation system for trade facilitation,measures the level of trade facilitation of RCEP member states from 2012 to 2019,and compares the differences in various indicators of trade facilitation among member states.The panel data of RCEP member countries from 2012 to 2019 were then regression based on the revised gravity model.The research shows that trade facilitation can significantly promote the development of cross-border e-commerce import and export,and its effect is stronger than the tariff level,and the effect has a greater impact on the import side.The influence of cultural distance on cross-border e-commerce is stronger than that of geographical distance.The results of sub-index regression show that among the four first-level indicators under trade facilitation,finance and e-commerce have the greatest impact on the development of cross-border e-commerce.Finally,based on the empirical results,the paper puts forward policy suggestions to provide new ideas for China to promote the construction of RCEP trade facilitation.
关键词
贸易便利化/跨境电商/RCEP/引力模型Key words
trade facilitation/cross-border e-commerce/RCEP/gravity model引用本文复制引用
基金项目
国家社会科学基金一般项目(21BJL088)
出版年
2024
NETL
NSTL
万方数据