财政分权与经济结构转型——一个产业结构变迁的视角
Fiscal Decentralization and Structural Transformation:Review of Industrial Structural Change
严成樑 1朱曼 1赵文哲1
作者信息
摘要
本文构建了一个包含中央政府和地方政府行为的产业结构变迁模型,理论研究发现,财政分权通过影响财政支出在中央政府和地方政府之间的配置来影响全要素生产率,并进一步影响产业结构变迁,促进产业升级.财政分权对产业结构变迁的影响与财政分权水平,以及非农业部门中央政府财政支出和地方政府财政支出的产出弹性有关,经济中可能存在最优的财政分权可以极小化农业部门的劳动力份额.本文通过省级面板数据模型考察财政分权对我国产业结构变迁的影响.在此基础上,我们运用省内县级政府的税收分权指标,以及双重差分方法做了稳健性检验.实证研究发现,财政分权程度越高,农业部门劳动力份额越低,这说明财政分权有利于我国产业结构升级,且这一结论是稳健的.
Abstract
This paper presents a model including both central government expenditure and local government expenditure.It is found that fiscal decentralization could affect the allocation of government expenditure between central government and local government,which in turn affect total factor productivity and structural transformation.The impact of fiscal decentralization on structural transformation depends on the level of fiscal decentralization,as well as the elasticity of government expenditure.There exists an optimal fiscal decentralization,which could minimize labor share in agriculture sector.With the provincial level data,we investigate the impact of fiscal decentralization on structural transformation through the panel data model.Additionally,we use tax sharing of county-level regions to measure fiscal decentralization,and we also use DID analysis as robust test.Empirical result shows that fiscal decentralization can enhance the process of structural transformation in China,and the result is robust.
关键词
财政分权/产业结构变迁/经济转型Key words
fiscal decentralization/industrial structural change/economic transition引用本文复制引用
基金项目
国家社科基金项目(22VRC176)
国家自然科学基金项目(72342033)
国家自然科学基金项目(71773153)
出版年
2024