工信财经科技2024,Issue(5) :121-135.

贸易便利化对我国数字服务贸易出口的影响及贸易潜力研究

Study on the Impact of Trade Facilitation on China's Digital Services Trade Exports and Trade Potentials

陈伟 李远 尹建辉
工信财经科技2024,Issue(5) :121-135.

贸易便利化对我国数字服务贸易出口的影响及贸易潜力研究

Study on the Impact of Trade Facilitation on China's Digital Services Trade Exports and Trade Potentials

陈伟 1李远 1尹建辉1
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作者信息

  • 1. 黑龙江东方学院经济贸易学院
  • 折叠

摘要

随着数字技术的不断创新、服务贸易数字化进程的加快,数字服务贸易已经成为各国贸易竞争的新战略点.本文以"一带一路"沿线 20 个国家2014-2022 年的数据为样本,构建出贸易便利化指标测评体系,该体系包括 4 个主要指标和 17 个次要指标.综合运用主成分分析方法和贸易引力模型,对这些国家的数字服务贸易便利化水平进行了测量,并把测出的贸易便利化指数代入到引力模型中,找出主要的影响因素,估算出各个国家的贸易潜力指数.实证结果显示:①我国数字服务贸易的便利化程度相对较低,与新加坡、韩国等其他国家相比存在一定差距.②提升贸易便利化水平对我国数字服务贸易出口具有明显的积极推动作用,并且各个指标的影响程度存在一定的差异.③"一带一路"沿线国家的数字服务贸易潜力已经逐步释放,国与国之间差异较大,我国与新加坡、韩国等国家相比还存在巨大的差距.

Abstract

With the continuous innovation of digital technology and the acceleration of the digitization process of service trade,digital service trade has become a new strategic point of trade competition in various countries.This paper takes the data of 20 countries along the"Belt and Road"from 2014 to 2022 as a sample,and constructs a trade facilitation index evaluation system,which includes 4 main indicators and 17 secondary indicators.The principal component analysis method and the trade gravity model are used to measure the level of digital service trade facilitation in these countries,and the trade facilitation index is introduced into the gravity model to find out the main influencing factors and estimate the trade potential index of each country.The empirical results show that:(1)The facilitation of digital service trade in China is relatively low,and there is a certain gap compared with other countries such as Singapore and Republic of Korea.(2)Improving the level of trade facilitation has a significant positive role in promoting China's digital service trade exports,and there are certain differences in the impact degree of each indicator.(3)The potential of digital service trade in countries along the"Belt and Road"has been gradually released,and there are large differences between countries,and there is still huge space for development between China and other countries.

关键词

贸易便利化/数字服务贸易/主成分分析/引力模型

Key words

trade facilitation/digital services trade/principal component analysis/gravity model

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基金项目

黑龙江省经济社会发展重点项目(23301)

哈尔滨市科技计划项目(ZC2023ZJ014007)

黑龙江东方学院科研创新团队建设项目(HDFKYTD202108)

出版年

2024
工信财经科技
电子工业出版社

工信财经科技

ISSN:2096-9724
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