首页|流动与融居:我国少数民族流动人口户籍迁移意愿的空间趋势分析

流动与融居:我国少数民族流动人口户籍迁移意愿的空间趋势分析

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少数民族流动人口的户籍迁移意愿是观测各民族交往交流交融的重要指标.本文基于2012与2017年CMDS数据,采用ESDA方法结合Logistic回归,探讨少数民族流动人口户籍迁移意愿的空间分布、变化趋势以及其影响因素.研究发现:迁移意愿从总体上呈现走低的趋势,并具有空间分异特征;向东迁移意愿显著下降,而向西迁移意愿明显增强.与此同时,空间依赖性与地理集聚度逐渐下降,流动范围以省内跨市为主,表明大流动带来的大融居新格局正逐渐形成.究其原因:国家区域发展战略、配套政策红利、群体社会特性、经济社会融入度与公共服务的有效供给等因素是重要的解释变量.经济社会融入与公共服务保障在东西部地区对少数民族流动人口户籍迁移意愿的促进作用大于中部东北部.因之,当前新时代城市民族工作需要针对我国少数民族流动人口户籍迁移意愿的空间分异与空间演化趋势做出相应的调适.
MOBILITY AND INTEGRATION:AN ANALYSIS OF THE SPATIAL TREND OF THE WILLINGNESS OF ETHNIC MINORITY MIGRANTS IN CHINA TO PERFORM HOUSEHOLD REGISTRATION MIGRATION
The willingness of ethnic minority migrants to perform household registration migration is an impor-tant indicator for observing interaction,exchange and integration between different ethnic groups.Based on the CMDS data of 2012 and 2017,this paper uses the ESDA method combined with logistic regression to explore the spatial distribution,change trend and influencing factors of the household registration migration intention of ethnic minority migrants.The results show that the migration intention demonstrates a downward trend and has the charac-teristics of spatial differentiation,and the eastward migration intention decreases significantly,while the westward migration intention increases significantly.At the same time,the spatial dependence and geographical agglomeration degree gradually decreased,and the flow was mainly among different cities within the province,indicating that a new pattern of large-scale integration brought about by the large flow was gradually taking shape.The reasons are some important explanatory variables,such as national and regional development strategy,supporting policy dividends,group social characteristics,economic and social integration,and effective supply of public services.Economic and social integration and public service guarantee have a greater role in promoting the willingness of ethnic minority migrants to perform household registration migration than in the central and northeastern regions.Therefore,the work of urban ethnic minorities in the new era needs to be adjusted according to the spatial differentiation and spatial evolution trend of the household registration migration intention of ethnic minority migrants in China.

Floating Population of Ethnic MinoritiesWillingness To Perform Household Registration Migra-tionCommunity For The Chinese NationInter-embedded Social Structure

朱星羽、木永跃

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云南大学民族政治研究院

云南大学政府管理学院 云南昆明,650500

少数民族流动人口 户籍迁移意愿 中华民族共同体 互嵌式社会结构

云南大学第十五届研究生科研创新项目

KC-23235556

2024

广西民族研究
广西壮族自治区民族问题研究中心

广西民族研究

CSSCICHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:0.634
ISSN:1004-454X
年,卷(期):2024.(2)
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