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城市气候变化风险研究新进展

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城市是气候变化影响的关键脆弱区,是应对气候变化行动的实施主体,城市气候变化风险和应对策略研究有重要意义.本文综述气候变化风险定义、城市气候变化风险评估、气候风险管理和应对策略及未来研究方向的最新进展.城市化和城市气候变化相互影响,基于致灾危险性-暴露度-脆弱性三维迭加的风险评价是主要研究方向,适应型城市的气候管理需要切实提高应对极端天气气候事件的能力.当前为实现"双碳"目标,城市气候系统的减缓作用要加大,以城市温室气体排放监测和估算为基础的气候变化风险研究也将得到重视.城市气候变化风险研究未来将向多领域、多角度综合方向以及行业领域精细化、定量化方向发展.
New progress in research on urban climate change risks
Cities are key vulnerable areas for the impacts of climate change and are the main implementers of actions to address climate change.Research on urban climate change risks and coping strategies is of great significance.Recent advances in climate change risk definition,urban climate change hazard evaluation,climate risk management response strategies and future research directions are summarised.Urbanisation and urban climate change interact with each other.Risk assessment based on the three-dimensional iteration of hazard-exposure-vulnerability is the main research direction.Climate management in adaptive cities needs to effectively improve the ability to respond to extreme weather and climate events.Currently,the mitigation role of the urban climate system is to be increased in order to achieve the"dual-carbon"goal,and climate change risk studies based on monitoring and estimation of urban greenhouse gas emissions will also be emphasised.In the future,urban climate change risk research will move in the direction of multi-disciplinary and multi-perspective synthesis,as well as the refinement and quantification of industry sectors.

climate changeclimate riskcities

何洁琳、李妍君

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广西壮族自治区气候中心,南宁 530022

气候变化 气候风险 城市

广西重点研发项目广西重点研发项目广西气象科研计划青年人才培养项目

桂科AB23026052桂科AB24010151桂气科2023QN03

2024

气象研究与应用
广西气象学会

气象研究与应用

影响因子:1.261
ISSN:1673-8411
年,卷(期):2024.45(2)
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