Risk analysis of water traffic safety in Yangtze River based on complex evolutionary networks
In order to maintain the navigation safety of the Yangtze River,85 typical cases of Yangtze River water traffic were summarized,and the evolution model of the Yangtze River water traffic accidents was constructed,based on the analysis of the characteristics,rules and mechanism of the risk evolution of the Yangtze River water traffic ac-cidents.The results show that all originnal risk events within the same type of risk must be controlled at the same time;there must be long-term checked and educational mechanisms for the recurrence of the same problems;it is necessary to pay attention to preventing and controlling the different adjacent nodes before and after the three nodes collision ac-cident,reef/damage accident and sinking accident;it is necessary to reshape the culture of the Yangtze River water transport enterprises,and coordinate the prevention and control of the root cause-indirect cause-direct cause nodes in maritime supervision;the maximum connectivity sub-map plays the most important role in restraining the occurrence and evolution of the Yangtze River water traffic accidents;economic losses and human losses are more likely to occur than environmental damage and will aggravate the destructive power of water traffic accidents.
water traffic safety on Yangtze Riveraccident evolution networkrisk analysis
万方数据
维普
