首页|AWTP指数在广西农业干旱分析中的应用

AWTP指数在广西农业干旱分析中的应用

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基于广西32个测站1961-2007年的逐日降水量资料,应用降水的平均等待时间(AWTP)指数作为衡量干旱的标准,分析了广西农业干旱的时空分布特征.结果表明,就气候平均状况而言,广西秋季的相当干期最长,其次是冬季,春季和夏季的最短.从时间变化看,广西春、夏季相当干期主要以年际、年代际变化为主,而秋、冬季的相当干期除了显著的年际、年代际变化外,还存在总体呈上升趋势,秋季的上升趋势最明显.从空间分布看,广西各季节农业干旱以全区一致型为主要空间分布型.广西秋、冬季发生农业干旱的频数较其他季节高,在全球气候变暖背景下,广西农业干旱频率有加剧趋势.
Application of AWTP Index to the Agricultural Drought in Guangxi
Based on the daily rainfall data from 1961 to 2007 at 32 stations in Guangxi, the spatial and temporal evolutions of the agricultural drought events in Guangxi were analyzed using the average waiting time for precipitation(AWTP) as drought index. Climatologically, the equivalent dry period is the longest in autumn, followed by winter, spring and summer. The dominant time scales of the seasonal equivalent dry period are both interannual and interdecadal changes in spring and summer. In autumn and winter,there also exist remarkable increasing longterm-trend in the equivalent dry period, in addiction to the significant interannual and interdecadal variations. However, the increasing trend rate of the equivalent dry period in autumn is the largest in other seasons. The district-wide drought is a dominant pattern in all seasons in Guangxi. There are higher agricutural drought frequencies in autumn and winter than in other seasons. Under the background of global warming, the agricultural drought frequency has an increasing trend in Guangxi.

Guangxi ProvinceEquivalent dry periodAWTP indexAgricultural droughtSpatial and temporal distribution characteristics

张凌云、简茂球

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中山大学大气科学系/季风与环境研究中心,广东广州,510275

柳州市气象局,广西柳州,545001

广西 相当干期 AWTP指数 农业干旱 时空分布特征

国家自然科学基金重点项目国家重点基础研究发展规划(973计划)

407309512009CB421404

2011

高原气象
中国科学院寒区旱区环境与工程研究所

高原气象

CSTPCDCSCD北大核心
影响因子:2.193
ISSN:1000-0534
年,卷(期):2011.30(1)
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