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黔东南州一次典型暴雨过程的地形敏感性试验

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[目的]为了探究地形对暴雨的影响.[方法]基于WRF模式和FNL再分析资料,对2022 年6 月 17-18 日贵州省黔东南州一次初夏典型暴雨过程开展数值模拟及雷公山、月亮山的地形敏感性试验.[结果]WRF模式能较好地模拟出该过程的强降水落区及强度,高空槽、低层的切变线辐合抬升,配合西南急流带来的充沛水汽导致本次暴雨过程的发生.通过地形敏感性试验发现雷公山高度降低,整层大气湿层降低,水汽辐合作用减弱,垂直运动减弱,南部CAPE值变大,使得强降水中心落区向南偏移,降水量减少35%以上;月亮山高度降低,配合下游方向有利地形,偏西南区域水汽辐合增强,对流发展强且上升运动层厚,南部偏东区域CAPE减弱,使得强降水中心向南、向西偏移,降水量增加 35%以上.地形高度降低还会引起不同高度层的天气系统位置和强度的变化,850 hPa气流辐合减弱以及 700 hPa槽位置的偏移,导致降雨量减弱、降水落区改变.[结论]该方法能有效探究地形对降水分布和强度的影响,可用于业务中有效订正预报结果.
Topographic Sensitivity Test of a Typical Rainstorm Process in Qiandongnan Prefecture of Guizhou Province
To explore the influence of terrain on rainstorm.Based on WRF model and FNL reanalysis data,a typical rainstorm process that occurred in Qiandongnan Prefecture of Guizhou Province from June 17 to 18,2022 is numerically simulated and terrain sensitivity tests of Leigong Mountain and Moon Mountain are carried out.The results show that the WRF model can well simulate the area and intensity of the severe precipitation process.The convergence and uplift of the shear line in the upper trough and the lower layer,and the abundant water vapor brought by the southwest jet stream led to the occurrence of this rainstorm process.The terrain sensitivity tests indicate that as the height of Leigong Mountain decreased,the integrated atmospheric wet layer decreased,the water vapor convergence weakened,the vertical motion weakened,and the CAPE value in the south increased,which caused the precipitation center to shift southward and the precipitation to decrease by more than 35%.The reduced height of Moon Mountain,combined with favorable terrain in the downstream direction,resulted in enhanced water vapor convergence in the southwestern region,strong convective development,and thick upward motion layers.The weakened CAPE in the southeastern region drove the center of heavy rainfall to move southward and westward,resulting in an increase in precipitation of over 35%.The decrease in terrain height could cause the changes in the position and intensity of weather systems at different altitude levels,weakening the airflow convergence at 850 hPa and displacing the trough at 700 hPa,thus resulting in reduced rainfall and changes in precipitation zones.This method can effectively explore the influence of terrain on precipitation distribution and intensity,and can be used for effective correction of forecast results in business.

Qiandongnan Prefecturerainstormterrainnumerical simulationsensitivity test

王瑶、白慧、张超、罗雪纯、孔德璇、池再香

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贵州省山地气象科学研究所,贵州 贵阳 550081

贵州省黔东南苗族侗族自治州气象局,贵州 凯里 556000

云南省昆明市气象局,云南 昆明 650000

黔东南州 暴雨 地形 数值模拟 敏感性试验

2024

中低纬山地气象
贵州省气象学会

中低纬山地气象

影响因子:0.33
ISSN:2096-5389
年,卷(期):2024.48(6)