Method of Induction by Elimination in Information Analysis of Criminal Cases
In order to ascertain the causal relationship between the main elements of a certain case,sometimes those who research and judge criminal single case information need take advan-tage of the induction by elimination,which includes the method of agreement,the method of dif-ference and the method of residues.The induction by elimination is connected closely with the empirical methods such as investigation experiment,whose reasoning line is eliminating irrel-evant factors and therefor its conclusion is more reliable than the induction by enumeration.How-ever,even though the induction by elimination is properly applied,it still probably leads to false or even absurd conclusions;such requirement that many instances of the phenomenon under study contain only one identical state in the method of agreement and the method of difference is also impossible in fact;the method of agreement can bring about the fallacy of small sample or over-generalization.Thus,to improve the reliability of conclusion of the induction by elimination,the people must comply with the following rules:adding explored instances and noticing the exis-tence of counterexamples,analyzing comprehensively and profoundly the changing relationship between the state of the affairs and phenomena and subdividing the induction by elimination,in-troducing the idea of causal hypothesis and testing causal hypothesis.
Criminal CasesInformation Analysis of Criminal CasesCausal RelationshipInduction by Elimination
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