The sales volume of new energy vehicles in China from 2023 to 2030 is predicted based on the Bass diffu-sion model,and the average market share of EV and HEV is calculated according to the difference of carbon emission reduction to predict the carbon emission reduction of the whole life cycle of new energy vehicles in China from 2023 to 2030.The result shows that compared with traditional gasoline passenger vehicles,the promotion of new energy vehi-cles is expected to reduce carbon emissions by 431 million tons by 2030 due to the changes in energy structure and other factors,with an estimated emission reduction of 34.73％.
关键词
新能源汽车/Bass模型/销量预测/碳减排量
Key words
new energy vehicles/Bass model/sales forecast/carbon emission reduction
维普
万方数据