首页|基于复杂网络和贝叶斯网络的煤矿事故致因的定性与定量分析

基于复杂网络和贝叶斯网络的煤矿事故致因的定性与定量分析

扫码查看
研究在深入分析煤矿事故的发生过程和致因理论的基础上,创造性地构建基于2-4 模型、关联规则、复杂网络和贝叶斯网络的事故致因模型,并进行定性与定量分析.以中国某地区煤矿的顶板事故为例,首先,进行2-4 模型与关联规则分析得到事故致因链和致因因素;其次,基于致因链进行复杂网络建模,并基于致因构建贝叶斯网络模型;最后,在模型分析的基础上,进行验证得出两种模型在进行致因分析的有效性,进一步提出切实有效地预防煤矿事故的建议.
Qualitative and quantitative analysis of coal mine accident causes based on complex networks and Bayesian networks
Based on an in-depth analysis of the occurrence process and cause theories of coal mine accidents,this study creatively constructs an accident cause model using the 2-4 model,association rules,complex net-works,and Bayesian networks,and conducts both qualitative and quantitative analyses.Taking roof accidents in coal mines in a certain region of China as an example,the study first uses the 2-4 model and association rule analysis to obtain accident cause chains and causal factors.Second,complex network modeling is conducted based on the cause chains,and the Bayesian network model is constructed based on the causes.Finally,on the basis of model analysis,and verification is carried out to demonstrate the effectiveness of both models in cause a-nalysis.Furthermore,practical and effective suggestions for preventing coal mine accidents are proposed.

cause of the accidentBayesian networkcomplex networkassociation rules

夏庆新、王广慧、王慧、张云雷、田立勤

展开 >

华北科技学院,北京 东燕郊 065201

河北科技大学,河北 石家庄 050091

事故致因 贝叶斯网络 复杂网络 关联规则

2025

华北科技学院学报
华北科技学院

华北科技学院学报

影响因子:0.336
ISSN:1672-7169
年,卷(期):2025.22(1)