华北理工大学学报(医学版)2024,Vol.26Issue(3) :228-232.DOI:10.19539/j.cnki.2095-2694.2024.03.010

PCT和SOFA评分对脓毒症患者预后的联合预测价值

Combined predictive value of PCT and SOFA scores for the prognosis of sepsis patients

赵鑫 孟泉辛
华北理工大学学报(医学版)2024,Vol.26Issue(3) :228-232.DOI:10.19539/j.cnki.2095-2694.2024.03.010

PCT和SOFA评分对脓毒症患者预后的联合预测价值

Combined predictive value of PCT and SOFA scores for the prognosis of sepsis patients

赵鑫 1孟泉辛1
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作者信息

  • 1. 南阳市第一人民医院 河南南阳 473000
  • 折叠

摘要

目的 分析血清降钙素原(PCT)和序贯器官衰竭评分(SOFA)评分对脓毒症患者预后的联合预测价值.方法 收集南阳市第一人民医院2020年1月~2021年12月收治的162例脓毒症患者,均随访3个月,依据结局分为死亡组(79例)和存活组(83例),采用Logistic多因素回归分析脓毒症患者死亡的危险因素,ROC曲线分析PCT联合SOFA评分对脓毒症患者预后的预测价值.结果 与存活组相比,死亡组患者年龄≥60岁占比升高,体温、心率、急性生理与慢性健康(APACHE Ⅱ)评分、C反应蛋白(CRP)水平、SOFA评分、血清白细胞介素-6(IL-6)、白细胞介素-8(IL-8)、白细胞介素-10(IL-10)、肿瘤坏死因子-α(TNF-α)、PCT均升高(P<0.05).进一步行Logistic多因素回归分析PCT、SO-FA 评分升高为脓毒症患者死亡的危险因素(P<0.05).PCT、SOFA评分对脓毒症患者预后均有一定预测价值,PCT+SOFA评分二者联合预测价值优于各指标单独预测(P<0.05).结论 PCT、SOFA评分升高为脓毒症患者死亡的危险因素,且二者联合评估脓毒症患者预后预测价值更高.

Abstract

Objective To analyze the combined predictive value of serum procalcitonin(PCT)and sequential organ failure score(SOFA)scores for the prognosis of sepsis patients.Methods A total of 162 patients with sepsis admitted to the First People's Hospital of Nanyang City from January 2020 to December 2021 were collected and followed up for 3 months.They were divided into a death group(79 cases)and a survival group(83 cases)based on the outcome.Logistic multiple regression analysis was used to identify the risk factors for sepsis patient mortality,and ROC curve analysis was used to evalu-ate the predictive value of PCT combined with SOFA score for the prognosis of sepsis patients.Results Compared with the survival group,the proportion of patients aged ≥ 60 years in the death group in-creased.Body temperature,heart rate,acute physiological and chronic health(APACHE Ⅱ)score,C-reactive protein(CRP)level,SOFA score,serum interleukin-6(IL-6),interleukin-8(IL-8),interleu-kin-10(IL-10),tumor necrosis factor-α(TNF-α),and PCT were all elevated in the death group(P<0.05).Further logistic multiple regression analysis showed that elevated PCT and SOFA scores were risk factors for mortality in sepsis patients(P<0.05).PCT and SOFA scores had certain predictive value for the prognosis of sepsis patients,and the combined predictive value of PCT+SOFA score was better than that of each indicator alone(P<0.05).Conclusion Elevated PCT and SOFA scores are risk factors for mortality in sepsis patients,and the combined evaluation of the two has higher predic-tive value for the prognosis of sepsis patients.

关键词

脓毒症/血清降钙素原/序贯器官衰竭评分/预后/预测

Key words

Sepsis/Serum procalcitonin/Sequential organ failure assessment/Prognosis/Predic-tion

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出版年

2024
华北理工大学学报(医学版)
河北联合大学

华北理工大学学报(医学版)

影响因子:0.569
ISSN:2095-2694
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