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基于疫苗接种策略的流行病学滑模控制方法

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为了对流行病学模型进行动态、实时控制,提出了具有控制输入(疫苗接种)策略的易感者-潜伏者-隔离者-感染者-恢复者(susceptible-exposed-quarantined-infected-recovered,SEQIR)流行病学模型,并对其疫苗接种控制律进行滑模控制.首先,对该模型进行了动力学分析.然后,针对SEQIR流行病模型,设计滑模面和相应的接种控制律,使得系统状态移动并收敛到滑模面上,缓解系统的抖振现象.这种滑模控制策略对参数不确定性和扰动具有鲁棒性.此外,采用李雅普诺夫第二方法对闭环系统的稳定性进行了分析.实验表明,滑模控制能够实时、快速地控制流行病的传播,接种疫苗可以减缓流行病的传播速度并降低传播规模,从而减少流行病暴发的风险.结果证明滑模控制策略能够应用在流行病学模型中,并及时、有效地控制疾病流行,同时接种疫苗也是一项非常重要和有效的措施.
Sliding Mode Control Method of Epidemiological Model Based on Vaccination Strategy
To achieve real-time dynamic control of epidemiological models,this paper proposed a susceptible-exposed-quarantined-infected-recovered(SEQIR)epidemiological model with a control input(vaccine administration)and applied sliding mode control to regulate its vaccination rate.Firstly,a dynamic analysis was conducted on the SEQIR model.Subsequently,a sliding surface and corresponding control law were designed for the epidemic model to facilitate the movement and convergence of the system state to the sliding surface,effectively alleviating the chattering phenomenon.Notably,this sliding mode control strategy exhibited robustness against parameter uncertainties and disturbances.In addition,stability analysis of the closed-loop system was performed using the Lyapunov's second method.The experimental results demonstrated that sliding mode control could dynamically and rapidly regulate the spread of the epidemic.Vaccination played a significant role in slowing down the transmission speed and scale of the epidemic,thereby reducing the risk of outbreaks.The findings indicated that sliding mode control strategies could be applied to epidemiological models for timely and effective disease control,with vaccination being an essential and effective measure.

epidemiological modelvaccinationsliding mode controlchatteringstability analysisLyapunov's second methodnumerical simulation

陈茜、向长城

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湖北民族大学 数学与统计学院,湖北 恩施 445000

流行病学模型 疫苗接种 滑模控制 抖振 稳定性分析 李雅普诺夫第二方法 数值模拟

国家自然科学基金项目湖北民族大学研究生教育创新项目

12361100MYK2023039

2024

湖北民族大学学报(自然科学版)
湖北民族学院

湖北民族大学学报(自然科学版)

影响因子:0.458
ISSN:2096-7594
年,卷(期):2024.42(1)
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