首页|山东半岛城市群人口老龄化空间分异特征及其驱动因素研究

山东半岛城市群人口老龄化空间分异特征及其驱动因素研究

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基于第六次和第七次人口普查数据,运用老龄化系数等指标、空间 自相关等方法,分析了山东半岛城市群县域人口老龄化空间分异特征,利用地理探测器揭示其驱动因素.结果表明:①人口老龄化空间分异显著,呈现"东北高西南低"的分布格局,且老龄化程度呈全面升级态势,县级市和县的老龄化内部差异小于市辖区.②整体集聚格局较为稳定,呈现"中心—外围"的空间梯度差异,老龄化变动趋势差异显著.③老龄化存在较强的空间 自相关性,热点区 自鲁东地区向西迁移,冷点区由西部向东部和南部迁移.④人口老龄化的空间分异是自然环境、人口结构和社会经济等多种因素共同作用的结果,人口年龄结构惯性是其主导因素.
Spatial differentiation of population aging and its driving factors in Shandong Peninsula urban agglomeration
Based on the population census data in 2010 and 2020,the methods of aging coefficient,concentration,and spatial autocorrelation are used to analyze the spatial differentiation characteristics of population aging in Shandong Peninsula urban agglomeration at county level.Geodetectors are used to reveal their driving factors.Research shows that:① There is a significant difference of population aging in Shandong Peninsula urban agglomeration,showing a spatial pattern of"high in the northeast and low in the southwest",and the process of population aging is aggravated.The internal difference of aging in county-level cities and counties is smaller than that in municipal districts.(2)The overall agglomeration pattern of population aging is stable for a long time,showing a"center-periphery"spatial gradient difference.And it has a significant difference in the variation trend of population aging.③ There is a strong spatial autocorrelation of aging.The hot spots migrates from the East Shandong area to the west,and the cold spots migrates from the west to the east and south.④ The spatial differentiation of population aging is the result of many factors such as natural environment,population structure and social economy,among which the inertia of population age structure is the dominant factor.

Population agingSpatial differentiationGeodetectorShandong Peninsula urban agglomeration

焦雅楠、卢冠宇、杜鹏

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辽宁师范大学地理科学学院,辽宁大连 116029

人口老龄化 空间分异 地理探测器 山东半岛城市群

国家自然科学基金

41701123

2024

河北省科学院学报
河北省科学院

河北省科学院学报

影响因子:0.176
ISSN:1001-9383
年,卷(期):2024.41(2)
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