水电与新能源2024,Vol.38Issue(1) :71-74.DOI:10.13622/j.cnki.cn42-1800/tv.1671-3354.2024.01.018

基于SVR与BP神经网络的水电机组瓦温预测

Prediction of the Bearing Bush Temperature in Hydropower Units based on SVR and BP Neural Network

魏棕凯 王晓兰 刘洋成 胡思宇 管毓瑶
水电与新能源2024,Vol.38Issue(1) :71-74.DOI:10.13622/j.cnki.cn42-1800/tv.1671-3354.2024.01.018

基于SVR与BP神经网络的水电机组瓦温预测

Prediction of the Bearing Bush Temperature in Hydropower Units based on SVR and BP Neural Network

魏棕凯 1王晓兰 1刘洋成 1胡思宇 1管毓瑶1
扫码查看

作者信息

  • 1. 大唐水电科学技术研究院有限公司,广西南宁 530007
  • 折叠

摘要

基于支持向量回归和反向传播神经网络算法,结合实际生产经验,对水电机组运行过程中轴瓦温度以及影响其变化的主要因素进行关联映射,建立相关映射模型,通过对比模型预测精度,优选模型对实时轴瓦温度进行预测.有效实现水电机组瓦温的智能实时预测,一定程度上解决了传统瓦温监测中阈值预警判断信息单一的弊端.

Abstract

Based on the support vector regression(SVR)and the back-propagation(BP)neural network algorithms,and the practical production experience,correlation mapping is carried out between the bearing bush temperature and the major factors affecting the temperature variations during the operation of hydropower units.A correlation mapping model is then established.By comparing the prediction accuracy of the models,the optimal model is selected to predict the re-al-time bearing bush temperature.It realizes the intelligent and real-time prediction of the bearing bush temperature in hydropower units,and solves the shortcomings of the traditional monitoring scheme that the judgement information in threshold warning is limited.

关键词

支持向量回归/反向传播神经网络/水电机组/轴瓦温度/预测

Key words

support vector regression/back-propagation neural network/hydropower unit/bearing bush temperature/prediction

引用本文复制引用

出版年

2024
水电与新能源
湖北省水力发电工程学会 湖北能源集团股份有限公司

水电与新能源

影响因子:0.301
ISSN:1671-3354
参考文献量5
段落导航相关论文