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己内酰胺及其下游产品生产现状与发展展望

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分析并预测了国内己内酰胺及下游尼龙 6(PA 6)双向拉伸薄膜(BOPA)、PA 6 纤维、PA 6 工程塑料等产品的市场,介绍了中国石化己内酰胺的生产和营销现状及下游发展规划,并对今后己内酰胺的发展提出了建议.截至 2023 年底,国内己内酰胺产能为 6 780 kt/a,预计至 2026 年,国内己内酰胺产能将达到约8 850 kt/a,与 2023 年相比增长31%,市场竞争力将进一步加大.预计 2024-2028 年,国内BOPA、PA 6 纤维、PA 6 工程塑料等仍将对己内酰胺的需求有一定增长,年均增大率为 5.5%左右,但己内酰胺供给大于需求.目前,中国石油化工集团有限公司己内酰胺生产能力为1 300 kt/a,约占国内总产能的19%,拥有具有自主知识产权的新一代己内酰胺绿色成套新技术.面对日益激烈的市场竞争,建议己内酰胺生产企业通过提升产品质量与服务,优化产业格局;扩展下游应用领域,制定未来产品结构;响应市场变化,灵活调整营销策略;强化低成本战略,发挥一体化产业链优势等,走差异化、特色化发展之路,提升竞争力.
Production status and development prospects of caprolactam and its downstream products
The market of caprolactam and its downstream products of biaxially oriented nylon 6(PA 6)film(BOPA),PA 6 fiber,PA 6 engineering plastics,etc.was analyzed and predicted in China.The production and marketing status of caprolactam and downstream development plans were introduced in SINOPEC.And the suggestions for the future development of caprolactam were put forward.The production capacity of caprolactam was 6 780 kt/a at the end of 2023 and is expected to be about 8 850 kt/a by 2026 in China,with an increase of 31%over 2023-2026,leading to more fierce market competition.The down-stream demand for caprolactam,such as BOPA,PA 6 fiber,PA 6 engineering plastics,etc.,is expected to be increasing with an aver-age annual growth rate of about 5.5%in China over 2024-2028,but the supply of caprolactam will still exceed the demand.China Petrochemical Corporation(SINOPEC)possesses a caprolactam production capacity of 1 300 kt/a by now,accounting for approximately 19%of the total production capacity in China.It also possesses a new generation of green and complete technology for caprolactam with independent intellectual property rights.In the face of increasingly fierce market competition,it was sugges-ted that caprolactam production enterprises should optimize their industrial pattern by improving product quality and services,ex-pand downstream application field and develop future product structures,adapt marketing strategies to volatile market conditions,strengthen low-cost strategies and maximize the advantages of integrated industrial chains,and stimulate differentiated and dis-tinctive development to enhance competitiveness.

caprolactamnylon 6productionconsumptionmarketingforecast

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中国石化化工销售有限公司江苏分公司,江苏 南京 210005

己内酰胺 尼龙6 生产 消费 营销 预测

2024

合成纤维工业
中国石化集团巴陵石油化工有限责任公司 中国石化集团公司合成纤维科技情报中心站

合成纤维工业

CSTPCD
影响因子:0.417
ISSN:1001-0041
年,卷(期):2024.47(6)